<span>Data collected by various data collection methods are often exposed to uncertainties that may affect the information presented by quantitative results. This also causes the forecasted model developed to be less precise because of the uncertainty contained in the input data used. Hence, preparing the data by means of handling inherent uncertainties is necessary to avoid the developed forecasting model to be less accurate. Traditional autoregressive (AR) model uses precise values and deals with the uncertainty normally in forecasting model. Fewer researches are focused on data preparation in time-series autoregressive for handling the uncertainties in data. Hence, this paper proposes a procedure to perform data preparation to handle uncertainty. The fuzzy data preparation involves the construction of fuzzy symmetric triangle numbers using percentage error and standard deviation method. The proposed approach is evaluated by using the simulation method for first-order autoregressive, AR (1) model in terms of forecasting accuracy performance. Simulation result demonstrates that the proposed approach obtains smaller error in forecasting and hence achieving better forecasting accuracy and dealing with uncertainty in the analysis.</span>
Predicting noise pollution from building sites is important to take precautions to avoid pollution that harms the public. A high accuracy of the prediction model is required so that the predicted model can reach the true value. Forecasting models must be built on solid historical data to achieve high forecasting accuracy. However, data collected through various approaches are subject to ambiguity and uncertainty, resulting in less reliable predictive models. Therefore, the data must be handled accurately, to eliminate data uncertainty. Standard data processing processes are easy to use but do not provide a consistent method for dealing with this ambiguous data. Therefore, a method to deal with data containing uncertainty for forecasting purposes is presented in this paper. A new technique for providing uncertainty-based data preparation has been employed to develop an ARIMA-based model of environmental noise pollution. During the data preparation stage, the standard deviation approach was used. Prior to the development of the prediction model, it is crucial to manage the fuzzy data to minimize errors. The experimental findings show that the suggested data preparation strategy can increase the model's accuracy.
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