We propose an interacting particle system to model the evolution of a system of banks with mutual exposures. In this model, a bank defaults when its normalized asset value hits a lower threshold, and its default causes instantaneous losses to other banks, possibly triggering a cascade of defaults. The strength of this interaction is determined by the level of the so-called non-core exposure. We show that, when the size of the system becomes large, the cumulative loss process of a bank resulting from the defaults of other banks exhibits discontinuities. These discontinuities are naturally interpreted as systemic events, and we characterize them explicitly in terms of the level of non-core exposure and the fraction of banks that are "about to default". The main mathematical challenges of our work stem from the very singular nature of the interaction between the particles, which is inherited by the limiting system. A similar particle system is analyzed in [DIRT15a] and [DIRT15b], and we build on and extend their results. In particular, we characterize the large-population limit of the system and analyze the jump times, the regularity between jumps, and the local uniqueness of the limiting process.
We study systems of Brownian particles on the real line, which interact by splitting the local times of collisions among themselves in an asymmetric manner. We prove the strong existence and uniqueness of such processes and identify them with the collections of ordered processes in a Brownian particle system, in which the drift coëfficients, the diffusion coëfficients, and the collision local times for the individual particles are assigned according to their ranks. These Brownian systems can be viewed as generalizations of those arising in first-order models for equity markets in the context of stochastic portfolio theory, and are able to correct for several shortcomings of such models while being equally amenable to computations. We also show that, in addition to being of interest in their own right, such systems of Brownian particles arise as universal scaling limits of systems of jump processes on the integer lattice with local interactions. A key step in the proof is the analysis of a generalization of Skorokhod maps which include 'local times' at the intersection of faces of the nonnegative orthant. The result extends the convergence of TASEP to its continuous analogue. Finally, we identify those among the Brownian particle systems which have a probabilistic structure of determinantal type.
We introduce multilevel versions of Dyson Brownian motions of arbitrary parameter β > 0, generalizing the interlacing reflected Brownian motions of Warren for β = 2. Such processes unify β corners processes and Dyson Brownian motions in a single object. Our approach is based on the approximation by certain multilevel discrete Markov chains of independent interest, which are defined by means of Jack symmetric polynomials. In particular, this approach allows to show that the levels in a multilevel Dyson Brownian motion are intertwined (at least for β ≥ 1) and to give the corresponding link explicitly.
We consider finite and infinite systems of particles on the real line and half-line evolving in continuous time. Hereby, the particles are driven by i.i.d. Lévy processes endowed with rank-dependent drift and diffusion coefficients. In the finite systems we show that the processes of gaps in the respective particle configurations possess unique invariant distributions and prove the convergence of the gap processes to the latter in the total variation distance, assuming a bound on the jumps of the Lévy processes. In the infinite case we show that the gap process of the particle system on the half-line is tight for appropriate initial conditions and same drift and diffusion coefficients for all particles. Applications of such processes include the modeling of capital distributions among the ranked participants in a financial market, the stability of certain stochastic queueing and storage networks and the study of the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model of spin glasses.
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