Potato and Chilli are the most significant horticultural vegetable crops commercially cultivated in both field level and homestead gardening. India is leading producer of chilli and 2nd leading of potato in the world, but inadequate storage and huge unpredictable weather conditions leads to loses. This study was done to analyse trend changes in area, production and productivity over 30 years study period (1985-2015) and also identify Efficient Cropping zones of potato and chillies, at district level for Tamil Nadu during 2000-2015, in order to venture the hotspots of 21st century. Results of trend analysis revealed that potato production was decreasing till early 21st century and thereafter increasing gradually with respect to cropping area and chilli showed reduction in production over the years. Relative Yield Index (RYI) and Relative Spread Index (RSI) were used to figured out potential cropping districts for both crops over Tamil Nadu. Dindigul, Erode and Krishnagiri districts were found to be efficient cropping zone, while Nilgiris is sole district of Most Efficient Cropping Zone (MECZ) for potato. Virudhunagar district has been the Most Efficient Cropping Zone for chilli crop, while Ramanathapuram, Sivagangai, Tirunelveli, and Thoothukkudi districts were identified as potential efficient zone (ECZs) in Tamil Nadu. Hence, this paper attempts to identify the hotspot area and to study the deviation in cultivable land, production and productivity of the crops where farmers are facing most of the problems. The climate change scenarios could influence crop cultivation, and this paper is evident on the changes in efficient cropping zones.
Drought tends to be a creeping phenomenon occurs gradually with the deficiency in rainfall further extending its impact on sectors which are dependent on water. The drought characteristics were analysed in Parambikulam Aliyar Project (PAP) basin based on the European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecasts Interim Reanalysis (ERA-Interim) gridded data with resolution of 0.125° ×0.125° during 1981-2017. Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI) was applied for monitoring the drought. The variables used in RDI are rainfall and potential evapotranspiration (ETo), the required meteorological data were taken from the ERA Interim dataset and ETo was calculated using Penman-Monteith method. RDI indicated that 41% of the time had drought condition over 37 years. Two years (1982 and 2012) faced severe drought across all the parts of the PAP basin and the highest number of mild drought events were observed than the other drought conditions in PAP basin. Results showed that Plain areas in PAP basin experienced maximum number of drought events compared to the other areas in PAP basin during the investigation period.
Dry chilli, which stands third in production from the spice industry, has influenced the Indian diet to a greater extent . The impact of climate change conditions on chilli crop could, in turn, impart the economy deeply. Hence, the future projection of dry chilli production will surely enrich knowledge about crop performance. Climate data from CCSM4 being downscaled from RegCM 4.4 was used in yield projection till the end of 21st century through DSSAT crop simulation for two major cultivars of chilli in Tamilnadu viz., TNAU chilli hybrid CO1 and K1 variety under rainfed conditions. TNAU chilli hybrid CO1 and K1 varieties have shown negative yield deviations for all the agroclimatic zones of Tamilnadu under variable time scales. However, southern zone was exclusive in exhibting positive yield by 7 percent and 5 percent, respectively, during the end of century.
The research paper attempts to delineate district level efficient cropping zones of turmeric and coriander over Tamilnadu (2001-2015) after analysing the trend on cultivation of both the crops at state level (1985-2015). Trend analysis of area and production revealed that both were increasing for turmeric and decreasing for coriander; but productivity had a downscale with turmeric and an upscale with coriander. Delineation of Efficient Cropping Zones of Coriander resulted in Tiruchirappali, Perambalur, Virudhunagar, Cuddalore, Ramanathapuram and Thoothukudi districts as better performers, whereas, Erode, Namakkal, Coimbatore, Salem and Dharmapuri disricts were excelling in Turmeric cultivation.
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