Increases in cardiac troponin-I, indicative of myocardial injury, are common and prognostic in COVID-19. • Troponin-I elevation is an accurate predictor of mortality in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. • A normal cardiac troponin-I level on admission has a very high negative predictive value for all-cause in-hospital mortality. • A normal cardiac troponin-I level on admission is a very strong and independent indicator of hospital survival. • Cardiac troponin-I may facilitate COVID-19 stage classification and risk-stratification.
Multiple metrics like SOFA score, APACHE II, AND SAPS III have been validated to predict mortality in critically ill patients. However, there is limited data about the applicability and validation of the SOFA score in critically ill patients with COVID-19 METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate and validate the applicability of SOFA score in critically ill patients with COVID 19. SARS-CoV-2 was diagnosed via PCR, and full SOFA score (6 system variables) was performed on days 1, 3 and 5 of critical care admissions with estimation of standard variation
Background
Limited data is available for reliable and accurate predictors of in-hospital mortality in patients diagnosed with COVID-19.
Methods
This scientific study is a retrospective cohort study of patients without a known history of liver diseases who were hospitalized with COVID-19 viral infection. Patients were stratified into low score groups (Model of End-Stage Liver Disease [MELD] score <10) and high score groups (MELD ≥10). Clinical outcomes were evaluated, including in-hospital mortality, hospital length of stay, and intensive care unit length of stay (ICU LOS).
Results
Our cohort of 186 COVID-19 positive patients included 88 (47%) women with a mean age of 60 years in the low score group and mean age of 73 years in the high score group. Patients in the high score group were older in age (p<0.0001) and more likely to have history of diabetes mellitus (p=0.0020), stage 3 chronic kidney disease (CKD) (p=0.0013), hypertension (p<0.0001), stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) (p=0.0163), asthma (p=0.0356), dementia (p<0.0001), and chronic heart failure (p=0.0055). The in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice rate was significantly higher in the high-score group as opposed to the low-score group (p=0.0014). Conversely, there was no significant difference among both groups in the hospital length of stay (LOS) and ICU LOS (p=0.6929 and p=0.7689, respectively).
Conclusion
Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 infection and found to have a MELD score greater than or equal to 10 were found to have a higher mortality as compared to their counterparts. Conversely a low MELD score is a very strong indicator of a more favorable prognosis, indicating hospital survival. We propose using the MELD score as an adjunct for risk stratifying patients diagnosed with COVID-19 without prior history of liver dysfunction.
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