In recent years, NASA has initiated the development of a focused near-to mid-term concept called "Integrated Demand Management" (IDM) under the Airspace Operations and Safety Program (AOSP). The focus of the research has been to develop more powerful, integrated operations and tools for managing trajectory constraints, leveraging existing systems and adding new automation tools and methods where needed. The IDM concept is predicated on the idea that in situations where the capacity of critical resources (such as airspace or airports) is insufficient to meet demand, a better match between available capacity and the predicted demand would significantly benefit the operations, with potential improvements in throughput, delays, and efficient flight trajectories. In current operations the reasons for the capacity/demand mismatches can vary, and range from problems due to structural limitations (e.g., surface capacity at high-volume airports, high-complexity en route or arrival airspace); to wind-related capacity changes; to the more severe, unstable and dynamic mismatches that occur with convective weather. The IDM solution proposes to address the demand / capacity mismatches by using the strategic flow management capabilities within the traffic flow management system (TFMS) toolset to "pre-condition" demand into the more tactical time-based flow management (TBFM) system, which should enable TBFM to better manage delivery to the capacity-constrained resource(s). The intent of IDM is to leverage the strengths of each of these systems to produce an integrated solution that is more powerful and robust than either could provide alone, or than the two would provide today as uncoordinated systems.Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) was chosen to be the focus of our initial design problem for several reasons. EWR routinely sees scheduled demand at or near airport capacity through much of the day with a varying mix of short-haul and long-haul flights. Although this is usually managed effectively using miles-in-trail and TBFM metering, close-in departures can experience excessive and unpredictable ground delay if the overhead flow is saturated. In the initial development of IDM concept, an alternative solution to this volume problem was proposed that integrates 3 key capabilities: 1) Collaborative Trajectory Options Program (CTOP) capability within TFMS to issue traffic management initiatives that can "strategically" manage demand into the TBFM system; 2) TBFM capability closer to the destination airport to "tactically" manage delivery to the capacity-constrained destination; and 3) required-time-of-arrival (RTA) capability on the flight deck to provide a more controlled traffic demand using the CTOP derived schedule into the TBFM domain.The IDM concept development is ongoing and iterative, based on inputs from the FAA and airline stakeholders, as well as on insights gained from a series of human-in-the-loop
This paper introduces NASA's Integrated Demand Management (IDM) concept and presents the results from an early proof-of-concept evaluation and an exploratory experiment. The initial development of the IDM concept was focused on integrating two systems-i.e. the FAA's newly deployed Traffic Flow Management System (TFMS) tool called the Collaborative Trajectory Options Program (CTOP) and the Time-Based Flow Management (TBFM) system with Extended Metering (XM) capabilities-to manage projected heavy traffic demand into a capacity-constrained airport. A human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulation experiment was conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of the initial IDM concept by adapting it to an arrival traffic problem at Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) during clear weather conditions. In this study, the CTOP was utilized to strategically plan the arrival traffic demand by controlling takeoff times of both short-and long-haul flights (long-hauls specify aircraft outside TBFM regions and short-hauls specify aircraft within TBFM regions) in a way that results in equitable delays among the groups. Such strategic planning decreases airborne and ground delay within TBFM by delivering manageable long-haul traffic demand while reserving sufficient slots in the overhead streams for the short-haul departures. A manageable traffic demand ensures the TBFM scheduler does not assign more airborne delay than a particular airspace is capable of absorbing. TBFM uses its time-based metering capabilities to deliver the desirable throughput by tactically coordinating and scheduling the long-haul flights and short-haul departures. Additional research was performed to explore the use of Required Time of Arrival (RTA) capabilities as a potential control mechanism to improve the arrival time accuracy of scheduled long-haul traffic. Results indicated that both short-and long-haul flights received similar ground delays. In addition, there was a noticeable reduction in the total amount of excessive, unanticipated ground delays, i.e. delays that are frequently imposed on the shorthaul flight in current day operations due to saturation in the overhead stream, commonly referred to as 'double penalty.' Furthermore, the concept achieved the target throughput while minimizing the expected cost associated with overall delays in arrival traffic. Assessment of the RTA capabilities showed that there was indeed improvement of the scheduled entry times into TBFM regions by using RTA capabilities. However, with respect to reduction in delays incurred within TBFM, there was no observable benefit of improving the precision of entry times for long-haul flights.
the objective of this study is to explore the use of Required Time of Arrival (RTA) capability on the flight deck as a control mechanism on arrival traffic management to improve traffic delivery accuracy by mitigating the effect of traffic demand uncertainty. The uncertainties are caused by various factors, such as departure error due to the difference between scheduled departure and the actual take-off time. A simulation study was conducted using the Multi Aircraft Control System (MACS) software, a comprehensive research platform developed in the Airspace Operations Laboratory (AOL) at NASA Ames Research Center. The Crossing Time (CT) performance (i.e. the difference between target crossing time and actual crossing time) of the RTA for uncertainty mitigation during cruise phase was evaluated under the influence of varying two main factors: wind severity (heavy wind vs. mild wind), and wind error (1 hour, 2 hours, and 5 hours wind forecast errors). To examine the CT performance improvement made by the RTA, the comparison to the CT of the aircraft that were not assigned with RTA (Non-RTA) under the influence of the selected factors was also made. The Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) was chosen for this study. A total 66 inbound traffic to the EWR (34 of them were airborne when the simulation was initiated, 32 were predepartures at that time) was simulated, where the pre-scripted departure error was assigned to each pre-departure (61 % conform to their Expected Departure Clearance Time, which is +/-300 seconds of their scheduled departure time). The results of the study show that the delivery accuracy improvement can be achieved by assigning RTA, regardless of the influence of the selected two factors (the wind severity and the wind information inaccuracy). Across all wind variances, 66.9% (265 out of 396) of the CT performance of the RTA assigned aircraft was within +/-60 seconds (i.e. target tolerance range) and 88.9% (352 out of 396) aircraft met +/-300 seconds marginal tolerance range, while only 33.6% (133 out of 396) of the Non-RTA assigned aircraft's CT performance achieved the target tolerance range and 75.5% (299 out of 396) stayed within the marginal. Examination of the impact of different error sources -i.e. departure error, wind severity, and wind error -suggest that although large departure errors can significantly impact the CT performance, the impacts of wind severity and errors were modest relative the targeted +/-60 second conformance range.
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