Diseases such as COVID-19 that quickly spread through social contact where Infections remain undetected for long pose new kinds of challenges. Traditional epidemic models when applied to COVID-19 not only give highly alarmist predictions but also fail to indicate any way to target interventions. The models also do not factor social structure/context/dynamics.. To address this challenge we propose a novel Social Infection Analysis Model explain the intuition behind it and a methodology that factors social structure while performing the analysis. SIAM is particularly beneficial as standard epidemic models are dependent on wide-spread testing. Our methodology includes (i) modelling society/localities using social network paradigm and analysis at macro level (ii) detecting communities and (iii) analysis of infection spread within a community over time. To arrive at an outlook for infection spread within communities we make use of the NK Model for solving complex, long term problems coupled with agent based modeling for member behavior. We make use of NetLogo to run simulations. We intend to validate our research in Indian context.
The idea of Balanced Development is to ensure equitable distribution of necessities of life and creation of productive remunerative employment across society. Balanced development is a prerequisite for sustainable economic growth and shared prosperity. To facilitate this challenging task, we have proposed an Ontology-based Tantra Social Information Management Framework that can help set goals, design and evaluate interventions, define and monitor relevant metrics in an ongoing basis. Tantra Framework represents social information using ideas from Zachman Framework and concepts from Unified Foundational Ontology. Tantra Framework inter-operates with well-regarded models. Balanced Scorecard is used to define development objectives. Bartels' Theory of Separations is used to identify barriers to access, consumption and profitable participation. Theory of Change process is used to arrive at right intervention. Distributed Ledgers are proposed to handle Change Management. A Social Information Management Process is proposed to keep the framework populated, complete and current. Tantra Framework can lead to broader Digital Governance Framework with strong cognizance of Social dimension. The paper explains how Tantra Framework can be used to realize Economic Development in Indian context.
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