The aim of the work is to substantiate the approach to forecasting the time fund for work in hybrid projects, taking into account the changing nature and climatic components of the design environment based on the use of neural networks. The neural network architecture involves the use of a multilayer perceptron, teacher training, and the method of backpropagation. It is based on an algorithm that minimizes the prediction error by propagating error signals from the network outputs (predicted duration of naturally allowed forecasting the working time fund) to its inputs (values of the duration of naturally allowed forecasting the working time fund in previous days), in the direction opposite to the direct propagation of signals. Based on the prepared initial data, the training of an artificial neural network was performed, which ensured the creation of an artificial neural network that is able to predict the duration of naturally allowed time to perform work in a software environment written in Python. Studies based on neural network training show that when the number of epochs increases to more than 25,000, the error does not exceed 4.8%. To study the neural network, we used the statistical data of the summer months of 2020 on the naturally allowed forecasting the working time fund during certain days, which are typical for the conditions of the Volodymyr-Volynskyi district of the Volyn region. The obtained results indicate that the use of the proposed architecture of the artificial neural network gives a fairly accurate forecast and this is the basis for making quality management decisions on planning the content and timing of work in hybrid projects.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations鈥揷itations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright 漏 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 馃挋 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.