Development of cholesteryl ester transfer protein (CETP) inhibitors for coronary heart disease (CHD) has yet to deliver licensed medicines. To distinguish compound from drug target failure, we compared evidence from clinical trials and drug target Mendelian randomization of CETP protein concentration, comparing this to Mendelian randomization of proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9). We show that previous failures of CETP inhibitors are likely compound related, as illustrated by significant degrees of between-compound heterogeneity in effects on lipids, blood pressure, and clinical outcomes observed in trials. On-target CETP inhibition, assessed through Mendelian randomization, is expected to reduce the risk of CHD, heart failure, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease, while increasing the risk of age-related macular degeneration. In contrast, lower PCSK9 concentration is anticipated to decrease the risk of CHD, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, multiple sclerosis, and stroke, while potentially increasing the risk of Alzheimer’s disease and asthma. Due to distinct effects on lipoprotein metabolite profiles, joint inhibition of CETP and PCSK9 may provide added benefit. In conclusion, we provide genetic evidence that CETP is an effective target for CHD prevention but with a potential on-target adverse effect on age-related macular degeneration.

Purpose: Pharmacoepidemiologic multi-database studies (MDBS) provide opportunities to better evaluate the safety and effectiveness of medicines. However, the issue of missing data is often exacerbated in MDBS, potentially resulting in bias and precision loss. We sought to measure how missing data are being recorded and addressed in pharmacoepidemiologic MDBS.Methods: We conducted a systematic literature search in PubMed for pharmacoepidemiologic MDBS published between 1st January 2018 and 31st December 2019. Included studies were those that used ≥2 distinct databases to assess the same safety/effectiveness outcome associated with a drug exposure. Outcome variables extracted from the studies included strategies to execute a MDBS, reporting of missing data (type, bias evaluation) and the methods used to account for missing data.Results: Two thousand seven hundred and twenty-six articles were identified, and 62 studies were included: using data from either North America (56%), Europe (31%), multiple regions (11%) or East-Asia (2%). Thirty-five (56%) articles reported missing data: 11 of these studies reported that this could have introduced bias and 19 studies reported a method to address missing data. Thirteen (68%) carried out a complete case analysis, 2 (11%) applied multiple imputation, 2 (11%) used both methods, 1 (5%) used mean imputation and 1 (5%) substituted information from a similar variable.Conclusions: Just over half of the recent pharmacoepidemiologic MDBS reported missing data and two-thirds of these studies reported how they accounted for it. We should increase our vigilance for database completeness in MDBS by reporting and addressing the missing data that could introduce bias.

Real-world evidence on a potential statin effect modification by sex is inconclusive, especially for the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aimed to quantify the differences in the effect of statins on lipid parameters between men and women. The PharmLines Initiative linked the Lifelines Cohort Study and the IADB.nl prescription database. This database covers a representative population from the Netherlands. We selected participants aged ≥40 years at the index date: the date of the first prescription of any statin monotherapy in the study period 2006 to 2017. Multivariate regression modeling was used to compare the difference of the mean percentage change of lipid parameters (% mean difference [MD]) from baseline to follow-up measurement between the sexes. Out of 5366 statin users from approximately 50,000 participants available in the final linked database, 685 were statin initiators. At baseline, women had significantly higher levels of mean total cholesterol (TC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) than men (all P values <.01). At follow-up, women had a significantly higher mean percentage change of HDL-C compared to men (adjusted % MD 5.59, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.42-8.75, P < .01). There was no significant sex difference in other parameters, nor in the proportion of men and women who achieved LDL-C ≤2.5 mmol/L. Statins appear to have a greater effect on increasing HDL-C levels in women than men while showing similar effect on other lipid parameters in both sexes. Men should not be treated differently than women.