Background Previous studies have demonstrated epidemiological trends in individual metastatic cancer subtypes; however, research forecasting long-term incidence trends and projected survivorship of metastatic cancers is lacking. We assess the burden of metastatic cancer to 2040 by (1) characterizing past, current, and forecasted incidence trends, and (2) estimating odds of long-term (5-year) survivorship. Methods This retrospective, serial cross-sectional, population-based study used registry data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER 9) database. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was calculated to describe cancer incidence trends from 1988 to 2018. Autoregressive integrating moving average (ARIMA) models were used to forecast the distribution of primary metastatic cancer and metastatic cancer to specific sites from 2019 to 2040 and JoinPoint models were fitted to estimate mean projected annual percentage change (APC). Results The average annual percent change (AAPC) in incidence of metastatic cancer decreased by 0.80 per 100,000 individuals (1988–2018) and we forecast an APC decrease by 0.70 per 100,000 individuals (2018–2040). Analyses predict a decrease in metastases to liver (APC = −3.40, 95% CI [−3.50, −3.30]), lung (APC (2019–2030) = −1.90, 95% CI [−2.90, −1.00]); (2030–2040) = −3.70, 95% CI [−4.60, −2.80]), bone (APC = −4.00, 95% CI [−4.30, −3.70]), and brain (APC = −2.30, 95% CI [−2.60, −2.00]). By 2040, patients with metastatic cancer are predicted to have 46.7% greater odds of long-term survivorship, driven by increasing plurality of patients with more indolent forms of metastatic disease. Conclusions By 2040, the distribution of metastatic cancer patients is predicted to shift in predominance from invariably fatal to indolent cancers subtypes. Continued research on metastatic cancers is important to guide health policy and clinical intervention efforts, and direct allocations of healthcare resources.

Background: Carpal tunnel release (CTR) is one of the most common hand surgeries. Studies have highlighted a mental-physical connection to hand pathologies and psychological connections to postoperative pain burden. Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) has been identified as a medical-psychological comorbidity like other mental health disorders such as generalized anxiety disorder (GAD). There remains a gap in the literature regarding PTSD as a comorbidity for hand surgeries, where there is this mental-physical connection. We hypothesize PTSD will be associated with increased risk of postoperative pain, evidenced by greater prevalence of opioid usage. Methods: The authors performed a retrospective analysis using the TriNetX Research Database. Patients who underwent elective CTR were identified within the database. Two groups were created and compared against individual controls: the first was identified based on the diagnosis of PTSD, and the second was identified based on the diagnosis of GAD. Cohorts were matched and opioid usage was compared postoperatively. Results: Patients with PTSD who underwent CTR were found to be at significantly increased risk of postoperative opioid use ( P = .033) and more likely to present to the emergency department (ED) ( P = .001). Patients with GAD were found to be significantly less likely to require postoperative opioids ( P = .040). Conclusions: We found patients with PTSD to be at increased risk of opioid use and more likely to present to ED following CTR. Patients with GAD were found to be at decreased risk of opioid use after CTR. Owing to the independent significant risks not found in GAD, further research of postoperative pain in patients with PTSD is needed.

IntroductionGeneralized anxiety disorder has become one of the most prevalent mental health disorders in the United States. In addition, postoperative delirium has been shown to increase hospital stay, increase mortality, and increased healthcare costs. Few studies have looked at the prevalence of postoperative delirium in patients diagnosed with anxiety undergoing elective spinal deformity procedures. The purpose of this study was to determine if anxiety is a risk factor for postoperative delirium in elective spinal deformity surgeries. MethodsThe authors performed a retrospective analysis using the TriNetX Research Database. Patients diagnosed with kyphosis or lordosis who then underwent elective spinal correction surgeries were identified. This group was then separated based on the diagnosis of a generalized anxiety disorder before the operation versus no diagnosis. Propensity score adjustment, based on mental disorders and other risk factors, was then used to match cohorts on baseline demographics and characteristics. Analysis was performed on the primary outcome of postoperative delirium, with secondary outcomes of upper respiratory tract infections, surgical site infections, sepsis, ventilator dependence, convulsions, stroke, emergency department visits, myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism, and urinary retention within 30 days after surgery. ResultsOur search included 1,211 patients with a diagnosis of anxiety and 8,055 patients without anxiety. After propensity score matching, 996 patients remained in each cohort. Statistical analysis showed significant outcomes between the matched cohorts in the anxiety group for postoperative delirium (OR 2.788; 1.587-4.899) and convulsions (OR 1.615;. All other outcomes were not significant after propensity score matching. ConclusionThese results showed generalized anxiety disorder is a risk factor for postoperative delirium and convulsions after elective spine surgery. Further research is necessary on the effects of mental health disorders on postoperative delirium and other outcomes to better understand the risks in this population.