Background Assessing the burden of COVID-19 on the basis of medically attended case numbers is suboptimal given its reliance on testing strategy, changing case definitions, and disease presentation. Population-based serosurveys measuring anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (anti-SARS-CoV-2) antibodies provide one method for estimating infection rates and monitoring the progression of the epidemic. Here, we estimate weekly seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the population of Geneva, Switzerland, during the epidemic.Methods The SEROCoV-POP study is a population-based study of former participants of the Bus Santé study and their household members. We planned a series of 12 consecutive weekly serosurveys among randomly selected participants from a previous population-representative survey, and their household members aged 5 years and older. We tested each participant for anti-SARS-CoV-2-IgG antibodies using a commercially available ELISA. We estimated seroprevalence using a Bayesian logistic regression model taking into account test performance and adjusting for the age and sex of Geneva's population. Here we present results from the first 5 weeks of the study. FindingsBetween April 6 and May 9, 2020, we enrolled 2766 participants from 1339 households, with a demographic distribution similar to that of the canton of Geneva. In the first week, we estimated a seroprevalence of 4•8% (95% CI 2•4-8•0, n=341). The estimate increased to 8•5% (5•9-11•4, n=469) in the second week, to 10•9% (7•9-14•4, n=577) in the third week, 6•6% (4•3-9•4, n=604) in the fourth week, and 10•8% (8•2-13•9, n=775) in the fifth week. Individuals aged 5-9 years (relative risk [RR] 0•32 [95% CI 0•11-0•63]) and those older than 65 years (RR 0•50 [0•28-0•78]) had a significantly lower risk of being seropositive than those aged 20-49 years. After accounting for the time to seroconversion, we estimated that for every reported confirmed case, there were 11•6 infections in the community.Interpretation These results suggest that most of the population of Geneva remained uninfected during this wave of the pandemic, despite the high prevalence of COVID-19 in the region (5000 reported clinical cases over <2•5 months in the population of half a million people). Assuming that the presence of IgG antibodies is associated with immunity, these results highlight that the epidemic is far from coming to an end by means of fewer susceptible people in the population. Further, a significantly lower seroprevalence was observed for children aged 5-9 years and adults older than 65 years, compared with those aged 10-64 years. These results will inform countries considering the easing of restrictions aimed at curbing transmission.
These results suggest that anti-ApoA-1 IgG might be associated with increased atherosclerotic plaque vulnerability in humans and mice.
In MI patients, anti-apoA-1 IgG is independently associated with MACE at 1-year, interfering with a currently unknown aldosterone-dependent RHR determinant. Knowing whether anti-apoA-1 IgG assessment could be of interest to identify an MI patient subset susceptible to benefit from apoA-1/IVIG therapy remains to be demonstrated.
Objective. To determine whether antiapolipoprotein A-1 (anti-Apo A-1) IgG are associated with major cardiovascular events in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA).Methods. We determined anti-Apo A-1 IgG levels and the concentrations of cytokines, oxidized lowdensity lipoprotein (LDL), and matrix metalloproteinase 1 (MMP-1) MMP-2, MMP-3, and MMP-9 in sera from 133 patients with RA who did not have cardiovascular disease at baseline, all of whom were longitudinally followed up over a median period of 9 years. A major cardiovascular event was defined as a fatal or nonfatal stroke or acute coronary syndrome. The proinflammatory effects of anti-Apo A-1 IgG were assessed on human macrophages in vitro.Results. During followup, the overall incidence of major cardiovascular events was 15% (20 of 133 patients). At baseline, anti-Apo A-1 IgG positivity was 17% and was associated with a higher incidence of major cardiovascular events (adjusted hazard ratio 4.2, 95% confidence interval 1.5-12.1). Patients who experienced a subsequent major cardiovascular event had higher circulating levels of anti-Apo A-1 IgG at baseline compared with those who did not have a major cardiovascular event. Receiver operating curve analysis showed that anti-Apo A-1 IgG was the strongest of all tested biomarkers for the prediction of a subsequent major cardiovascular event, with an area under the curve value of 0.73 (P ؍ 0.0008). At the predefined and previously validated cutoff levels, the specificity and sensitivity of anti-Apo A-1 IgG to predict major cardiovascular events were 50% and 90%, respectively. Anti-Apo A-1 IgG positivity was associated with higher median circulating levels of interleukin-8 (IL-8), oxidized LDL, and MMP-9 and higher proMMP-9 activity as assessed by zymography. On human macrophages, anti-Apo A-1 IgG induced a significant dose-dependent increase in IL-8 and MMP-9 levels and proMMP-9 activity.Conclusion. Anti-Apo A-1 IgG is an independent predictor of major cardiovascular events in RA, possibly by affecting vulnerability to atherosclerotic plaque.
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