Human‐caused habitat change has been implicated in current woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou) population declines across North America. Increased early seral habitat associated with industrial footprint can result in an increase in ungulate densities and subsequently those of their predator, wolves (Canis lupus). Higher wolf densities can result in increased encounters between wolves and caribou and consequently higher caribou mortality. We contrasted changes in moose (Alces alces) and deer (Odocoileus spp.) densities and assessed their effects on wolf–caribou dynamics in northeastern Alberta, Canada, pre (1994–1997) versus post (2005–2009) major industrial expansion in the region. Observable white‐tailed deer (O. virginianus) increased 17.5‐fold but moose remained unchanged. Wolf numbers also increased from approximately 6–11.5/1,000 km2. Coincident with these changes, spatial overlap between wolf pack territories and caribou range was high relative to the mid‐1990s. The high number of wolf locations in caribou range suggests that forays were not merely exploratory, but rather represented hunting forays and denning locations. Scat analysis indicated that wolf consumption of moose declined substantively during this time period, whereas use of deer increased markedly and deer replaced moose as the primary prey of wolves. Caribou increased 10‐fold in the diet of wolves and caribou population trends in the region changed from stable to declining. Wolf use of beaver (Castor canadensis) increased since the mid‐1990s. We suggest that recent declines in woodland caribou populations in the southerly extent of their range have occurred because high deer densities resulted in a numeric response by wolves and consequently higher incidental predation on caribou. Our results indicate that management actions to conserve caribou must now include deer in primary prey and wolf reduction programs. © 2010 The Wildlife Society
Estimating the abundance of wild carnivores is of foremost importance for conservation and management. However, given their elusive habits, direct observations of these animals are difficult to obtain, so abundance is more commonly estimated from sign surveys or radio-marked individuals. These methods can be costly and difficult, particularly in large areas with heavy forest cover. As an alternative, recent research has suggested that wolf abundance can be estimated from occupancy–abundance curves derived from “virtual” surveys of simulated wolf track networks. Although potentially more cost-effective, the utility of this approach hinges on its robustness to violations of its assumptions. We assessed the sensitivity of the occupancy–abundance approach to four assumptions: variation in wolf movement rates, changes in pack cohesion, presence of lone wolves, and size of survey units. Our simulations showed that occupancy rates and wolf pack abundances were biased high if track surveys were conducted when wolves made long compared to short movements, wolf packs were moving as multiple hunting units as opposed to a cohesive pack, and lone wolves were moving throughout the surveyed landscape. We also found that larger survey units (400 and 576 km2) were more robust to changes in these factors than smaller survey units (36 and 144 km2). However, occupancy rates derived from large survey units rapidly reached an asymptote at 100% occupancy, suggesting that these large units are inappropriate for areas with moderate to high wolf densities (>15 wolves/1,000 km2). Virtually-derived occupancy–abundance relationships can be a useful method for monitoring wolves and other elusive wildlife if applied within certain constraints, in particular biological knowledge of the surveyed species needs to be incorporated into the design of the occupancy surveys. Further, we suggest that the applicability of this method could be extended by directly incorporating some of its assumptions into the modelling framework.
The main objective of this study was to determine if predation risk accounted for the patterns of stonefly (Plecoptera) nymph abundance in the Maligne Valley watershed, Jasper National Park, Alberta. Seasonal declines in nymph density corresponded to increased use of the Maligne Lake Outlet and Lower Maligne River by harlequin ducks (Histrionicus histrionicus). Neither decline represented a shift from aperiodic to nocturnal use of surface rocks. Rather, rock use remained aperiodic throughout the season despite increases in risk. The decline that occurred in the Maligne Lake Outlet also did not represent a shift from small to large surface rocks. These results, when combined with the results of an odor experiment, suggest that nymphs tend to avoid surface rocks when in the presence of harlequin ducks. Nymph density did not decline seasonally in the Middle Maligne River, a site free of harlequin ducks but inhabited year-round by brook char (Salvelinus fontinalis) and rainbow trout (Onchorhynchus mykiss). Nymphs in this site as well as those exposed to char odor were nocturnally biased in their use of the substrate surface. Overall, predation risk appears to play a strong role in the patterns of stonefly nymph abundance in the Maligne Valley watershed, although not in the way originally expected.
Proceedings - The 11th North American Caribou Workshop, Jasper, Alberta, Canada, 24-27 April, 200
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