Background Different formulae have been developed globally to estimate gestational age (GA) by ultrasonography in the first trimester of pregnancy. In this study, we develop an Indian population-specific dating formula and compare its performance with published formulae. Finally, we evaluate the implications of the choice of dating method on preterm birth (PTB) rate. This study’s data was from GARBH-Ini, an ongoing pregnancy cohort of North Indian women to study PTB. Methods Comparisons between ultrasonography-Hadlock and last menstrual period (LMP) based dating methods were made by studying the distribution of their differences by Bland-Altman analysis. Using data-driven approaches, we removed data outliers more efficiently than by applying clinical parameters. We applied advanced machine learning algorithms to identify relevant features for GA estimation and developed an Indian population-specific formula (Garbhini-GA1) for the first trimester. PTB rates of Garbhini-GA1 and other formulae were compared by estimating sensitivity and accuracy. Results Performance of Garbhini-GA1 formula, a non-linear function of crown-rump length (CRL), was equivalent to published formulae for estimation of first trimester GA (LoA, − 0.46,0.96 weeks). We found that CRL was the most crucial parameter in estimating GA and no other clinical or socioeconomic covariates contributed to GA estimation. The estimated PTB rate across all the formulae including LMP ranged 11.27–16.50% with Garbhini-GA1 estimating the least rate with highest sensitivity and accuracy. While the LMP-based method overestimated GA by 3 days compared to USG-Hadlock formula; at an individual level, these methods had less than 50% agreement in the classification of PTB. Conclusions An accurate estimation of GA is crucial for the management of PTB. Garbhini-GA1, the first such formula developed in an Indian setting, estimates PTB rates with higher accuracy, especially when compared to commonly used Hadlock formula. Our results reinforce the need to develop population-specific gestational age formulae.
Background: Different formulae have been developed globally for estimation of gestational age (GA) by ultrasonography in the first trimester of pregnancy. In this study, we develop an Indian population-specific dating formula and compare its performance with published formulae. Finally, we evaluate the implications of the choice of dating method on preterm birth (PTB) rate. The data for this study was from GARBH-Ini, an ongoing pregnancy cohort of North Indian women to study PTB. Methods: Comparisons between ultrasonography-Hadlock and last menstrual period (LMP) based dating methods were made by studying the distribution of their differences by Bland-Altman analysis. Using data driven approaches, we removed data outliers more efficiently than by applying clinical parameters. We applied advanced machine learning algorithms to identify relevant features for GA estimation and developed an Indian population-specific formula (Garbhini-1) for the first trimester. PTB rates of Garbhini-1 and other formulae were compared by estimating sensitivity and accuracy. Results: Performance of Garbhini-1 formula, a non-linear function of crown-rump length (CRL), was equivalent to published formulae for estimation of first trimester GA (limits of agreement, -0.46,0.96 weeks). We found that CRL was the most important parameter in estimating GA and no other clinical or socioeconomic covariates contributed to GA estimation. The estimated PTB rate across all the formulae including LMP ranged 11.54-16.50% with Garbhini-1 estimating the least rate with highest sensitivity and accuracy. While LMP-based method overestimated GA by three days compared to USG-Hadlock formula; at an individual level, these methods had less than 50% agreement in classification of PTB. Conclusions: An accurate estimation of GA is crucial for management of PTB. Garbhini-1, the first such formula developed in an Indian setting, estimates PTB rates with higher accuracy especially when compared to commonly used Hadlock formula. Our results reinforce the need to develop population-specific gestational age formulae.
Background: The prevalence of preterm birth (PTB) is high in lower and middle-income countries (LMIC) such as India. In LMIC, since a large proportion seeks antenatal care for the first time beyond 14-weeks of pregnancy, accurate estimation of gestational age (GA) using measures derived from ultrasonography scans in the second and third trimesters is of paramount importance. Different models have been developed globally to estimate GA, and currently, LMIC uses Hadlock's formula derived from data based on a North American cohort. This study aimed to develop a population-specific model using data from GARBH-Ini, a multidimensional and ongoing pregnancy cohort established in a district hospital in North India for studying PTB. Methods: Data obtained by longitudinal ultrasonography across all trimesters of pregnancy was used to develop and validate GA models for second and third trimesters. The first trimester GA estimated by ultrasonography was considered the Gold Standard. The second and third trimester GA model named, Garbhini-GA2 is a multivariate random forest model using five ultrasonographic parameters routinely measured during this period. Garbhini-GA2 model was compared to Hadlock and INTERGROWTH-21st models in the TEST set by estimating root mean-squared error, bias and PTB rate. Findings: Garbhini-GA2 reduced the GA estimation error by 23-45% compared to the published models. Furthermore, the PTB rate estimated using Garbhini-GA2 was more accurate when compared to published formulae that overestimated the rate by 1.5-2.0 times. Interpretation: The Garbhini-GA2 model developed is the first of its kind developed solely using Indian population data. The higher accuracy of GA estimation by Garbhini-GA2 emphasises the need to apply population-specific GA formulae to improve antenatal care and better PTB rate estimates.
ChassiDex is an open-source, non-profit online host organism database that houses a repository of molecular, biological and genetic data for model organisms with applications in synthetic biology. The structured user-friendly environment makes it easy to browse information. The database consists of a page for each model organism subdivided into sections such as Growth Characteristics, Strain diversity, Culture sources, Maintenance protocol, Transformation protocol, BioBrick parts and commonly used vectors. With tools such as CUTE built for codon usage table generator, it is also easy to generate and download accurate novel codon tables for unconventional hosts in suitable formats. This database was built as a project for the International Genetically Engineered Machine Competition in 2017 with the mission of making it easy to shift from working with one host organism to another unconventional host organism for any researcher in the field of synthetic biology. The code along with other instructions for the usage of the database and tools are publicly available at the GitHub page. We encourage the synthetic biology community to contribute to the database by adding data for any additional or existing host organism.https://chassidex.org; https://github.com/ChassiDex
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