A therosclerosis is a multifocal disease, with myocardial infarction (MI) remaining a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Around two thirds of all spontaneous thrombotic coronary events resulting in MI or sudden cardiac death are caused by rupture of an atheromatous plaque.1,2 Repeated cycles of subclinical rupture and repair also underlie rapid plaque growth, 3 leading to luminal encroachment and symptoms of progressive angina. Morphologically, ruptured plaques exhibit large necrotic lipid cores, thin overlying fibrous caps, and evidence of microcalcification. 4 The precursor lesion for rupture, termed a thin-cap fibroatheroma (TCFA), displays several of these compositional features. 4 However, prospective studies have shown that future clinical event rates attributable to high-risk plaques were <10% for 3 years, 5 highlighting that novel, non-imaging-based markers are required to improve plaque-based risk stratification. See Editorial by Stone and Coskun See Clinical PerspectivePlaque rupture occurs when the plaque structural stress (PSS) exceeds the material strength of the tissue. 6 Autopsy studies have shown that PSS is increased after plaque rupture and that the location of peak PSS can accurately predict Background-Although plaque rupture is responsible for most myocardial infarctions, few high-risk plaques identified by intracoronary imaging actually result in future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Nonimaging markers of individual plaque behavior are therefore required. Rupture occurs when plaque structural stress (PSS) exceeds material strength. We therefore assessed whether PSS could predict future MACE in high-risk nonculprit lesions identified on virtual-histology intravascular ultrasound. Methods and Results-Baseline nonculprit lesion features associated with MACE during long-term follow-up (median:1115 days) were determined in 170 patients undergoing 3-vessel virtual-histology intravascular ultrasound. MACE was associated with plaque burden ≥70% (hazard ratio: 8.6; 95% confidence interval, 2.5-30.6; P<0.001) and minimal luminal area ≤4 mm 2 (hazard ratio: 6.6; 95% confidence interval, 2.1-20.1; P=0.036), although absolute event rates for high-risk lesions remained <10%. PSS derived from virtual-histology intravascular ultrasound was subsequently estimated in nonculprit lesions responsible for MACE (n=22) versus matched control lesions (n=22). PSS showed marked heterogeneity across and between similar lesions but was significantly increased in MACE lesions at high-risk regions, including plaque burden ≥70% (13.9±11.5 versus 10.2±4.7; P<0.001) and thin-cap fibroatheroma (14.0±8.9 versus 11.6±4.5; P=0.02). Furthermore, PSS improved the ability of virtual-histology intravascular ultrasound to predict MACE in plaques with plaque burden ≥70% (adjusted log-rank, P=0.003) and minimal luminal area ≤4 mm 2 (P=0.002). Plaques responsible for MACE had larger superficial calcium inclusions, which acted to increase PSS (P<0.05). 9-11 Although direct in vivo measurement of PSS is currently impos...

Across multiple arterial regions, higher age is consistently associated with higher calcium scores. The presence of vascular calcification at baseline is associated with progressive calcification; in the carotid arteries, calcification appears to influence vascular inflammation. Dalcetrapib therapy did not affect vascular calcification.

ObjectivesTo estimate the prevalence of non-calcified coronary artery disease (CAD) in patients with suspected stable angina and a zero coronary artery calcification (CAC) score, and to assess the prognostic significance of a zero CAC in these symptomatic patients.MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, consecutive patients with stable chest pain underwent CAC scoring ± CT coronary angiography (CTCA) as part of routine clinical care at a single tertiary centre over 7 years. Major adverse cardiac event (MACE) was defined as cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and/or non-elective revascularisation.ResultsA total of 915 of 1753 (52.2%) patients (mean age 56.8 ± 12.0 years; 46.2% male) had a zero CAC score. Of the 751 (82.1%) patients with a zero CAC in whom CTCA was performed, 674 (89.7%) had normal coronary arteries, 63 (8.4%) had non-calcified CAD with < 50% stenosis and 14 (1.9%) had ≥ 50% stenosis in at least one coronary artery. The negative predictive value of a zero CAC for excluding a ≥ 50% CTCA stenosis was 98.1%. Over a median follow-up period of 2.2 years (range 1.0–7.0 years), the absolute annualised rates of MACE were as follows: zero CAC 1.9 per 1000 person-years and non-zero CAC 7.4 per 1000 person-years (HR 3.8, p = 0.009). However, after adjusting for age, gender and cardiovascular risk factors using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model, there was no statistically significant difference in the risk of MACE between the two patient cohorts (p = 0.19). After adjusting for age, gender and cardiovascular risk factors, the HR for all-cause mortality among the zero CAC cohort vers non-zero CAC was 2.1 (p = 0.27).ConclusionA zero CAC score in patients undergoing CT scanning for suspected stable angina has a high negative predictive value for the exclusion of obstructive CAD and is associated with a good medium-term prognosis.

Atherosclerosis is a chronic, progressive, multifocal disease of the arterial wall, which is mainly fuelled by local and systemic inflammation, often resulting in acute ischemic events following plaque rupture and vessel occlusion. When assessing the cardiovascular risk of an individual patient, we must consider both global measures of disease activity and local features of plaque vulnerability, in addition to anatomical distribution and degree of established atherosclerosis. These parameters cannot be measured with conventional anatomical imaging techniques alone, which are designed primarily to identify the presence of organic intraluminal obstruction in symptomatic patients. However, molecular imaging with PET, using specifically targeted radiolabeled probes to track active in vivo atherosclerotic mechanisms noninvasively, may potentially provide a method that is better suited for this purpose. Vascular PET imaging can help us to further understand aspects of plaque biology, and current evidence supports a future role as an emerging clinical tool for the quantification of cardiovascular risk in order to guide and monitor responses to antiatherosclerosis treatments and to distinguish high-risk plaques.