Objective Few studies have characterized the epidemiology of first episode psychoses in rural or urban settings since the introduction of Early Intervention Psychosis services. To address this, we conducted a naturalistic cohort study in England, where such services are well-established. Method We identified all new first episode psychosis cases, 16-35 years old, presenting to Early Intervention Psychosis services in the East of England, during 2 million person-years follow-up. Presence of International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, F10-33 psychotic disorder was confirmed using OPCRIT. We estimated incidence rate ratios [IRR] following multivariable Poisson regression, adjusting for age, sex, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, neighborhood-level deprivation and population density. Results Of 1,005 referrals, 687 participants (68.4%) fulfilled epidemiological and diagnostic criteria for first episode psychosis (34.0 new cases per 100,000 person-years; 95%CI: 31.5-36.6). Median age-at-referral was similar (p=0.27) for men (22.5 years; interquartile range: 19.5-26.7) and women (23.4 years; 19.5-29.1); incidence rates were highest for men and women before 20 years old. Rates increased for ethnic minority groups (IRR: 1.4; 95%CI: 1.1-1.6), with lower socioeconomic status (IRR: 1.3: 95%CI: 1.2-1.4) and in more urban (IRR: 1.4; 95%CI: 1.0-1.8) and deprived neighborhoods (IRR: 2.1; 95%CI: 1.3-3.3) after adjustment for confounders. Conclusions Pronounced variation in psychosis incidence, peaking before 20 years old, exists in populations served by Early Intervention Psychosis services. Excess rates were restricted to urban and deprived communities, suggesting a threshold of socioenvironmental adversity may be necessary to increase incidence. This robust epidemiology can inform service development in various settings about likely population-level need.

ObjectiveSeveral ethnic minority groups experience elevated rates of first-episode psychosis (FEP), but most studies have been conducted in urban settings. We investigated whether incidence varied by ethnicity, generation status, and age-at-immigration in a diverse, mixed rural, and urban setting.MethodWe identified 687 people, 16–35 years, with an ICD-10 diagnosis of FEP, presenting to Early Intervention Psychosis services in the East of England over 2 million person-years. We used multilevel Poisson regression to examine incidence variation by ethnicity, rural–urban setting, generation status, and age-at-immigration, adjusting for several confounders including age, sex, socioeconomic status, population density, and deprivation.ResultsPeople of black African (incidence rate ratio: 4.06; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.63–6.25), black Caribbean (4.63; 95% CI: 2.38–8.98) and Pakistani (2.31; 95% CI: 1.35–3.94) origins were at greatest FEP risk relative to the white British population, after multivariable adjustment. Non-British white migrants were not at increased FEP risk (1.00; 95% CI: 0.77–1.32). These patterns were independently present in rural and urban settings. For first-generation migrants, migration during childhood conferred greatest risk of psychotic disorders (2.20; 95% CI: 1.33–3.62).ConclusionsElevated psychosis risk in several visible minority groups could not be explained by differences in postmigratory socioeconomic disadvantage. These patterns were observed across rural and urban areas of our catchment, suggesting that elevated psychosis risk for some ethnic minority groups is not a result of selection processes influencing rural–urban living. Timing of exposure to migration during childhood, an important social and neurodevelopmental window, may also elevate risk.

Lithium can be found naturally in drinking water. In clinical practice, it is widely used in pharmacological doses for the treatment of bipolar disorder; and may also prevent suicidal behaviour in people with mood disorders. In two studies, lithium levels in tap water have been significantly and negatively correlated with suicide. We measured lithium levels in tap water in the 47 subdivisions of the East of England and correlated these with the respective suicide standardised mortality ratio in each subdivision. We found no association between lithium in drinking water and suicide rates across the East of England from 2006 to 2008.

ObjectiveTo test whether spatial and social neighbourhood patterning of people at ultra‐high risk (UHR) of psychosis differs from first‐episode psychosis (FEP) participants or controls and to determine whether exposure to different social environments is evident before disorder onset.MethodWe tested differences in the spatial distributions of representative samples of FEP, UHR and control participants and fitted two‐level multinomial logistic regression models, adjusted for individual‐level covariates, to examine group differences in neighbourhood‐level characteristics.ResultsThe spatial distribution of controls (n = 41) differed from UHR (n = 48; P = 0.04) and FEP participants (n = 159; P = 0.01), whose distribution was similar (P = 0.17). Risk in FEP and UHR groups was associated with the same neighbourhood‐level exposures: proportion of single‐parent households [FEP adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.56 95% CI: 1.00–2.45; UHR aOR: 1.59; 95% CI: 0.99–2.57], ethnic diversity (FEP aOR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.02–1.58; UHR aOR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.00–1.63) and multiple deprivation (FEP aOR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.78–1.00; UHR aOR: 0.86; 95% CI: 0.76–0.99).ConclusionSimilar neighbourhood‐level exposures predicted UHR and FEP risk, whose residential patterning was closer to each other's than controls. Adverse social environments are associated with psychosis before FEP onset.

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