Prediction of time series is one of the topics that receive significant interest because of its importance in various fields, especially when studying natural phenomena. In this research, the transformation function model was reconciled where it aims to use the genetic algorithm to estimate the parameters of the final transformation function model. Also, it was used to predict future values for the time series of monthly averages of temperatures in Nineveh Governorate for the period (1985-2000) as an output series and wind speed as an input series. In Nineveh Governorate, they are not stable in average and variance; when taking the square root of the data and taking the first seasonal difference as well as the first normal difference, stability was achieved, and then showed a model of the transformation function as shown in the equation (17). This research showed that the model's final parameters were estimated using the genetic algorithm based on the standard error squares average. The best estimate was chosen for the parameters that correspond to the lowest value of the average error squares, and by using this model, monthly temperature rates were predicted. Predictive values were shown to be consistent with the original values of the series. By depending on the transformation function model shown in the above equation, monthly averages of the temperature were predicted for the next four months, and the prediction results were consistent with the original time series values, which indicates the efficiency of the model.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.