We propose a hybrid partial differential equation–agent-based (PDE–ABM) model to describe the spatio-temporal viral dynamics in a cell population. The virus concentration is considered as a continuous variable and virus movement is modelled by diffusion, while changes in the states of cells (i.e. healthy, infected, dead) are represented by a stochastic ABM. The two subsystems are intertwined: the probability of an agent getting infected in the ABM depends on the local viral concentration, and the source term of viral production in the PDE is determined by the cells that are infected. We develop a computational tool that allows us to study the hybrid system and the generated spatial patterns in detail. We systematically compare the outputs with a classical ODE system of viral dynamics, and find that the ODE model is a good approximation only if the diffusion coefficient is large. We demonstrate that the model is able to predict SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics, and replicate the output of in vitro experiments. Applying the model to influenza as well, we can gain insight into why the outcomes of these two infections are different.
Considered as a geophysical fluid, the polluted atmosphere shares the shallow domain characteristics with other natural large‐scale fluids such as seas and oceans. This means that its domain is excessively greater horizontally than in the vertical dimension, leading to the classic hydrostatic approximation of the Navier–Stokes equations. In the past there has been proved a convergence theorem for this model with respect to the ocean, without considering pollution effects. The novelty of this present work is to provide a generalization of their result translated to the atmosphere, extending the fluid velocity equations with an additional convection–diffusion equation representing pollutants in the atmosphere.
We propose a hybrid partial differential equation - agent-based (PDE-ABM) model to describe the spatio-temporal viral dynamics in a cell population. The virus concentration is considered as a continuous variable and virus movement is modeled by diffusion, while changes in the states of cells (i.e. healthy, infected, dead) are represented by a stochastic agent-based model. The two subsystems are intertwined: the probability of an agent getting infected in the ABM depends on the local viral concentration, and the source term of viral production in the PDE is determined by the cells that are infected. We develop a computational tool that allows us to study the hybrid system and the generated spatial patterns in detail. We systematically compare the outputs with a classical ODE system of viral dynamics and find that the ODE model is a good approximation only if the diffusion coefficient is large. We demonstrate that the model is able to predict SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics and replicate the output of in vitro experiments. Applying the model to influenza as well, we can gain insight into why the outcomes of these two infections are different.
Paxlovid is a promising, orally bioavailable novel drug for SARS-CoV-2 with excellent safety profiles. Our main goal here is to explore the pharmacometric features of this new antiviral. To provide a detailed assessment of Paxlovid, we propose a hybrid multiscale mathematical approach. We demonstrate that the results of the present in silico evaluation match the clinical expectations remarkably well: on the one hand, our computations successfully replicate the outcome of an actual in vitro experiment; on the other hand, we verify both the sufficiency and the necessity of Paxlovid’s two main components (nirmatrelvir and ritonavir) for a simplified in vivo case. Moreover, in the simulated context of our computational framework, we visualize the importance of early interventions and identify the time window where a unit-length delay causes the highest level of tissue damage. Finally, the results’ sensitivity to the diffusion coefficient of the virus is explored in detail.
<p style='text-indent:20px;'>A widely used approach to mathematically describe the atmosphere is to consider it as a geophysical fluid in a shallow domain and thus to model it using classical fluid dynamical equations combined with the explicit inclusion of an <inline-formula><tex-math id="M1">\begin{document}$ \epsilon $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> parameter representing the small aspect ratio of the physical domain. In our previous paper [<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="b14">14</xref>] we proved a weak convergence theorem for the polluted atmosphere described by the Navier-Stokes equations extended by an advection-diffusion equation. We obtained a justification of the generalised hydrostatic limit model including the pollution effect described for the case of classical, east-north-upwards oriented local Cartesian coordinates. Here we give a two-fold improvement of this statement. Firstly, we consider a meteorologically more meaningful coordinate system, incorporate the analytical consequences of this coordinate change into the governing equations, and verify that the weak convergence still holds for this altered system. Secondly, still considering this new, so-called downwind-matching coordinate system, we prove an analogous strong convergence result, which we make complete by providing a closely related existence theorem as well.</p>
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