To follow up on the progress made on exploring the stability investigation of linear commensurate Fractional-order Difference Systems (FoDSs), such topic of its extended version that appears with incommensurate orders is discussed and examined in this work. Some simple applicable conditions for judging the stability of these systems are reported as novel results. These results are formulated by converting the linear incommensurate FoDS into another equivalent system consists of fractional-order difference equations of Volterra convolution-type as well as by using some properties of the Z-transform method. All results of this work are verified numerically by illustrating some examples that deal with the stability of solutions of such systems.
Owing to the COVID-19 pandemic, which broke out in December 2019 and is still disrupting human life across the world, attention has been recently focused on the study of epidemic mathematical models able to describe the spread of the disease. The number of people who have received vaccinations is a new state variable in the COVID-19 model that this paper introduces to further the discussion of the subject. The study demonstrates that the proposed compartment model, which is described by differential equations of integer order, has two fixed points, a disease-free fixed point and an endemic fixed point. The global stability of the disease-free fixed point is guaranteed by a new theorem that is proven. This implies the disappearance of the pandemic, provided that an inequality involving the vaccination rate is satisfied. Finally, simulation results are carried out, with the aim of highlighting the usefulness of the conceived COVID-19 compartment model.
Nowadays, a lot of research papers are concentrating on the diffusion dynamics of infectious diseases, especially the most recent one: COVID-19. The primary goal of this work is to explore the stability analysis of a new version of the SEIR model formulated with incommensurate fractional-order derivatives. In particular, several existence and uniqueness results of the solution of the proposed model are derived by means of the Picard–Lindelöf method. Several stability analysis results related to the disease-free equilibrium of the model are reported in light of computing the so-called basic reproduction number, as well as in view of utilising a certain Lyapunov function. In conclusion, various numerical simulations are performed to confirm the theoretical findings.
Fractional-order systems have proved to be accurate in describing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic by virtue of their capability to include the memory effects into the system dynamics. This manuscript presents a novel fractional discrete-time COVID-19 model that includes the number of vaccinated individuals as an additional state variable in the system equations. The paper shows that the proposed compartment model, described by difference equations, has two fixed points, i.e., a disease-free fixed point and an epidemic fixed point. A new theorem is proven which highlights that the pandemic disappears when an inequality involving the percentage of the population in quarantine is satisfied. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to show that the proposed incommensurate fractional-order model is effective in describing the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.
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