The results confirm the existence of asymmetric behaviour of oil price, which is a key factor that fiscal authorities used for the decision about public expenditures. Furthermore, the result reveals that the evidence of the Keynesian hypothesis is observed in United Arab Emirates. While Kuwait fits both theories at a time and also confirms Wagner's law only in Saudi Arabia. Moreover, the results support the spend-and-revenue hypothesis in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait while fiscal neutrality in United Arab Emirates. On the basis of conclusion, the study recommends that the government should re-invest the surplus from oil receipt into other sectors of the economy on a priority basis that will reduce the negative effects of a decline in oil price.
Multinational enterprises undertake Foreign Direct Investments mainly through two different modes: Mergers and Acquisitions and greenfield investments. In the sizable empirical literature that examines the determinants of Foreign Direct Investments, very few studies investigated the determinants of these modes. This article empirically analyzes the extent to which determinants such as market size, exchange rate, and market openness in six selected ASEAN countries (ASEAN-6) influence the choice of one entry mode of Foreign Direct Investments over the other. A robust relationship between market size and exchange rate with greenfield inflows rather than Mergers and Acquisitions sales is found. Additionally, given an increase in market openness, foreign firms prefer Mergers and Acquisitions to greenfield investments. The results also confirm the fire-sale Foreign Direct Investments phenomenon during financial crises.
This study examines the symmetric and/or asymmetric effects of changes in the interest rate on exchange rate of the ASEAN countries. It further aims to compare these linkages by using a dataset consisting of 48–68 quarterly data items, ranging over the period 2002–2017, of the ASEAN countries. Using both the linear autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) approaches, the findings indicate that these effects vary from one country to another. We observe that changes in interest rates have short-run symmetric effects on the exchange rates, which also hold in the long run for five ASEAN countries, namely, Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam, and Singapore. On the other hand, changes in interest rates have asymmetric (negative) effects on the exchange rates, which also hold in the long run for seven ASEAN countries, namely, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.
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