Analysis by human perception could not be solved using traditional method since uncertainty within the data have to be dealt with first. Thus, fuzzy structure system is considered. The objectives of this study are to determine suitable cluster by using fuzzy c-means (FCM) method, to apply existing methods such as multiple linear regression (MLR) and fuzzy linear regression (FLR) as proposed by Tanaka and Ni and to improve the FCM method and FLR model proposed by Zolfaghari to predict manufacturing income. This study focused on FLR which is suitable for ambiguous data in modelling. Clustering is used to cluster or group the data according to its similarity where FCM is the best method. The performance of models will measure by using the mean square error (MSE), the mean absolute error (MAE) and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Results shows that the improvisation of FCM method and FLR model obtained the lowest value of error measurement with MSE=1.825 , MAE=115932.702 and MAPE=95.0366. Therefore, as the conclusion, a new hybrid of FCM method and FLR model are the best model for predicting manufacturing income compared to the other models.
Regression analysis is a popular tool used in data analysis, whereas fuzzy regression is usually used for analyzing uncertain and imprecise data. In the industrial area, the company usually has problems in predicting the future manufacturing income. Therefore, a new approach model is needed to solve the future company prediction income. This article analyzed the manufacturing income by using the multiple linear regression (MLR) model and fuzzy linear regression (FLR) model proposed by Tanaka and Zolfaghari, involving 9 explanatory variables. In order to find the optimum of the FLR model, the degree of fitting (H) was adjusted between 0 to 1. The performance of three methods has been measured by using mean square error (MSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The analysis proved that FLR with Zolfaghari’s model with the degree of fitting of 0.025 outperformed the MLR and FLR with Tanaka’s model with the smallest error value. In conclusion, the manufacturing income is directly proportional to 6 independent variables. Furthermore, the manufacturing income is inversely proportional to 3 independent variables. This model is suitable in predicting future manufacturing income.
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