A partitioned survival cost-effectiveness model informed by the final analyses from KEYNOTE-052 predicted long-term health and cost outcomes for cisplatin-ineligible patients with urothelial cancer with programmed death-ligand 1-positive tumors receiving either pembrolizumab or carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Over 20 years, treatment with pembrolizumab resulted in a mean gain of 2.58 life years and was shown to be cost-effective over carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Introduction: Pembrolizumab has been approved in the United States (US) for the first-line treatment of patients with advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma, who are ineligible for cisplatin-containing chemotherapy and with tumors expressing programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) (Combined Positive Score ! 10), or ineligible for any platinumcontaining chemotherapy regardless of PD-L1 status. Long-term KEYNOTE-052 data continue to demonstrate pembrolizumab's meaningful, durable, and well-tolerated antitumor activity. This study evaluates the costeffectiveness of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine as first-line treatment for cisplatin-ineligible patients who have PD-L1epositive tumors from a US third-party healthcare payer's perspective. Patients and Methods: A partitioned survival model containing 3 health states (progression-free, progressed, and death) was developed. A simulated treatment comparison and a network meta-analysis were conducted to estimate the comparative efficacy of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin-based chemotherapy. Overall survival, progression-free survival, time on treatment, adverse events, and utilities were modeled using the final analyses of the KEYNOTE-052 trial and 4 studies for carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Cost data were estimated using US standard sources and real-world data. Deterministic, probabilistic, and scenario analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Results: Over 20 years, pembrolizumab resulted in a mean gain of 2.58 life-years, 2.01 quality-adjusted life-years, and additional costs of $158,561, leading to an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $78,925/qualityadjusted life-year compared with carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Conclusion: This study suggests that pembrolizumab is cost-effective compared with carboplatin plus gemcitabine as a first-line therapy for patients with advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma who are PD-L1epositive.
93 Background: Pembrolizumab is indicated as first-line therapy for cisplatin-ineligible patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC) whose tumors express PD-L1 with a combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 10. This study aims to evaluate the cost‐effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine in this setting from the US payer perspective. Methods: A partitioned-survival model was developed to measure the costs and effectiveness over a 20-year time horizon with an annual discount of 3%. Clinical outcomes of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival, safety outcomes and time on treatment were modeled using data from the KEYNOTE-052 clinical trial for pembrolizumab and four clinical trials for carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Because clinical trials directly comparing these treatment strategies are not available, a simulation treatment comparison and a network meta-analysis were conducted to estimate comparative efficacy. Quality of life data extracted from EQ-5D questionnaires administered in KEYNOTE-052 were used to estimate utility, while cost data were estimated using US pricing lists and real-world data. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Pembrolizumab was also compared with gemcitabine monotherapy in the scenario analyses. Results: Pembrolizumab was associated with a survival gain of 2.47 years and 1.90 quality adjusted life years (QALY), an incremental cost of $155,238, and an incremental cost per QALY gained of $81,493 versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine. Results were most sensitive to the time horizon, discount rate, pembrolizumab dosing intensity and OS hazard ratio. Pembrolizumab had 87% or 100% probability of being cost-effective vs. chemotherapy at a $100,000 or $150,000 willingness-to-pay threshold, respectively. Conclusions: Pembrolizumab appears cost-effective versus carboplatin plus gemcitabine as first-line treatment of cisplatin-ineligible and PD-L1 positive mUC patients in the US. The comparison of pembrolizumab with gemcitabine monotherapy yields similar conclusions.
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