The article describes a probabilistic approach to the reliability analysis of a flexural reinforced concrete element by the cracking criterion using the provisions of fracture mechanics. Two mathematical models of limit state are proposed for reliability analysis: with the evaluation of the critical stress intensity coefficient directly and through the design concrete compressive strength. On the basis of regression analysis, the relationship between the critical stress intensity coefficient and the design concrete compressive strength is established which can be used in the inspection of reinforced concrete structural elements. The influence of the design concrete compressive strength on the failure (cracking) probability of the flexural reinforced concrete element is analyzed. The numerical example of reliability analysis is given for the reinforced concrete beam by the criterion of cracking. It is noted that the required level of reliability should be set for each structural object individually based on the acceptable risk value using economic and non-economic losses.