This work presents a multiscale modeling framework for predictive simulations of shock-to-detonation transition (SDT) in pressed energetic (HMX) materials. The macro-scale computations of SDT are performed using an ignition and growth (IG) model. However, unlike in the traditional semi-empirical ignition-and-growth model, which relies on empirical fits, in this work meso-scale void collapse simulations are used to supply the ignition and growth rates. This results in a macro-scale model which is sensitive to the meso-structure of the energetic material. Energy localization at the meso-scale due to hotspot ignition and growth is reflected in the shock response of the energetic material via surrogate models for ignition and growth rates. Ensembles of meso-scale reactive void collapse simulations are used to train the surrogate model using a Bayesian Kriging approach. This meso-informed Ignition and Growth (MES-IG) model is applied to perform SDT simulations of pressed HMXs with different porosity and void diameters. The computations are successfully validated against experimental pop-plots. Additionally, the critical energy for SDT is computed and the experimentally observed Ps2τs=constant relations are recovered using the MES-IG model. While the multiscale framework in this paper is applied in the context of an ignition-and-growth model, the overall surrogate model-based multiscale approach can be adapted to any macro-scale model for predicting SDT in heterogeneous energetic materials.

This work presents the procedure for constructing a machine learned surrogate model for hotspot ignition and growth rates in pressed HMX materials. A Bayesian Kriging algorithm is used to assimilate input data obtained from high-resolution meso-scale simulations. The surrogates are built by generating a sparse set of training data using reactive meso-scale simulations of void collapse by varying loading conditions and void sizes. Insights into the physics of void collapse and ignition and growth of hotspots are obtained. The criticality envelope for hotspots is obtained as the function cr = ( s , void ) where s is the imposed shock pressure and void is the void size. Criticality of hotspots is classified into the plastic collapse and hydrodynamic jetting regimes. The information obtained from the surrogate models for hotspot ignition and growth rates and the criticality envelope can be utilized in meso-informed Ignition and Growth (MES-IG) models to perform multi-scale simulations of pressed HMX materials.

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Surrogate models for hotspot ignition and growth rates were presented in Part I, where the hotspots were formed by the collapse of single cylindrical voids. Such isolated cylindrical voids are idealizations of the void morphology in real meso-structures. This paper therefore investigates the effect of non-cylindrical void shapes and void-void interactions on hotspot ignition and growth. Surrogate models capturing these effects are constructed using a Bayesian Kriging approach. The training data for machine learning the surrogates are derived from reactive void collapse simulations spanning the parameter space of void aspect ratio (AR), void orientation ( ), and void fraction ( ). The resulting surrogate models portray strong dependence of the ignition and growth rates on void aspect ratio and orientation, particularly when they are oriented at acute angles with respect to the imposed shock. The surrogate models for void interaction effects show significant changes in hotspot ignition and growth rates as the void fraction increases. The paper elucidates the physics of hotspot evolution in void fields due to the creation and interaction of multiple hotspots. The results from this work will be useful not only for constructing meso-informed macro-scale models of HMX, but also for understanding the physics of void-void interactions and sensitivity due to void shape and orientation.