Attack scenarios with limitations were investigated. Resource-factors and condition-factors were set as two types of limitations. Resource-factors are spent at each step of attack and can be replenished completely or partially if a given attack step was successful. A situation, where successful completion of current step with one or more preceding ones is required to replenish resource-factors, is possible. After each step of attack the violator can “exchange” resource-factors to accumulate the required amount of those factors for the next step. The lack of the required amount of resource-factors may either forcefully interrupt an attack or to lower success probability or reduce the time required by protection side to discover the consequences of an attack. This article doesn’t consider the change of relative cost of resource-factors, that is caused by urgency, so that all resource-factors have fixed cost regardless of violator’s reserve of these resource-factors. Conditions-factors are fixed limitations for conducting an attack. Discrepancy of condition-factors makes it impossible to either start an attack or to finish the current attack’s step. In certain cases the lack in one condition-factor can be compensated with excess of another condition-factor or via spending additional resource-factors. The influence on resource-factors and condition-factors is laid as a basis of protection strategies. The strategy of increasing the values of condition-factors for violator decreases the total amount of attacks on a system by screening beginner violators. The threat level from groups of violators and from experienced violators will remain unchanged. The strategy of increasing the rate of resource-factors spending is designed to interrupt attacks in progress. Strategy of decreasing the amount of resource-factors that can be replenished after successful completion of certain steps of attack scenario is meant to decrease violator’s interest in attacking specifically our system and to decrease the chances of attack repetition if an attack occurred.
This paper introduces a new type of violator model that is based on Markov chains. It can be used as a scenario model AS IS or as a mathematical model with quantitative estimates if additional information is presented. Our aim with this paper was to develop a model that will allow to restore missing data, using existing knowledge about violator. The results show that presented scenario for general cases cover the majority of attacks and can be applied to real-life scenarios too. Summing up the results, it can be concluded that additional improvement of the model should be focused on data gathering to ensure that existing data will be enough to recover the rest.
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