• Overall sensitivity of a population-based digital mammography screening programme (SP) was 79.9 %. • In women with ACR 1, 2, or 3, SP ranged between 72.9 %-100 %. • ACR 4 was rare in participants (<7 %) and SP was only 50 %. • SP in ACR 4 differed significantly from ACR 3 (p < 0.001).
The incidence rates of advanced-stage breast cancers decreased in the age groups from 55 years to the upper age limit for screening eligibility, but not in the adjacent age groups. The findings are consistent with MSP lead time effects and seem to indicate that the MSP lowers advanced-stage breast cancer rates in the target population.
This study demonstrates that high overall cancer detection rates in digital mammography screening are related to high detection rates of invasive cancers, as well as DCIS. Increases in the detection rates of DCIS were not driven by disproportionate increments of the slowly progressive low-grade subtype but rather by increased rates of intermediate- and high-grade subtypes that carry a higher risk of transition to invasive cancers.
MSP participants with invasive breast cancer can generally be treated with less intensive surgical and systemic therapy than non-participants, even if interval cancers are also taken into account. Future studies should also investigate quality of life after a diagnosis of invasive carcinoma in screening participants.
Germany is the first nation that implemented a nationwide skin cancer screening program in 2008. The aim is to study the effect of the program on skin cancer rates and to estimate the number needed to screen for an unselected and a hypothetical high-risk population in Germany. We used population-based data on skin cancer incidence (2000-2014), mortality, hospitalization and sick leave (2000-2015) from North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany (18 million population). We calculated annual age-standardized rates per 100,000 person years and calculated the relative change of the rates (%) including 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Between 2007 and 2014, the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of the age-standardized incidence rate of skin melanoma was 3.8% among men and women. These increases were accompanied by increases of the age-standardized mortality rates (EAPC men 3.2%, women 2.0%) and age-standardized sick leave rates (EAPC men 11.0%, women 6.1%). Hospitalization rates showed barely any change. All types of rates for nonmelanoma skin cancer showed marked increases. The number needed to screen for skin melanoma death would be 34,000 if the risk reduction due to screening would be 50%. In a hypothetical high-risk approach with 10% of the population at high risk, that is, a relative risk of melanoma death of 4.0, a skin melanoma mortality risk reduction of 50% among these people due to screening would result in a reduction of the skin melanoma mortality by 15% in the total population. However, this reduction would require a number needed to screen of 11,141. Seven years after the introduction of the skin cancer screening program, there is no discernible beneficial effect at population level. The estimated number needed to screen for skin melanoma in an unselected approach is high and a realistic high-risk approach is currently not feasible.
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