BackgroundThe natural history of patients commencing dialysis in East Yorkshire is not well characterised and there is little convincing evidence which has studied the impact of potential factors prior to commencement of renal replacement therapy (RRT) at predicting mortality during dialysis. The aim of this study was to examine the previously published 5-year data on end stage renal disease and co-morbid risk factors for mortality at 10 years.MethodsAn observational cohort study of subjects commencing dialysis in 2001/02 in East Yorkshire with a mean follow up from dialysis initiation of 8.8 years. Predictors of mortality were determined by univariate, multivariate analysis and survival via Kaplan-Meier analysis. Assessment of the utility of the Tangri risk calculator was carried out in addition to slope change in eGFR prior to dialysis commencement.ResultsBaseline characteristics and the preferred mode of dialysis remained concordant with the original trial. The mortality rate at the end of the study period was 60% (56/94) with 30% (29) of patients having been transplanted. Highlighted in the 5 year data a significant proportion of mortality was made up of vascular disease and sepsis (71%) but this proportion had decreased (57%) by 10 years. Cardiac disease was the commonest cause of death but notably in 18% of patients, death was related to dialysis or withdrawal of treatment. Vascular disease and diabetes remained independent risk factors and predicative of mortality. Calcium - phosphate product which was associated in the early years with mortality was not in later years. Use of the risk calculator was predictive of commencement of RRT but not mortality but slope change in eGFR was predictive of mortality.ConclusionsAlthough diabetes and vascular disease remained predictive of mortality, interestingly calcium-phosphate levels are no longer significant and may be a more specific predictor of early cardiac mortality. Slope eGFR changes prior to RRT are a predictor of mortality. We speculate that aggressive management of cardiac risk factors in addition to early transplantation may be key to influencing the impact of survival in this cohort in addition to possible measures to delay renal progression.

Testing for and investigating proteinuria in adults with or without specific symptoms needs careful evaluation

Background: With an aging population and limited resources, the incidence and prevalence of chronic kidney disease is increasing. We aimed at assessing the impact of the low clearance clinic (LCC) on not only the natural history of patients with deteriorating renal function but also the timing of renal replacement therapy (RRT) and mortality. Methods: A retrospective cohort study involving 271 patients who entered the LCC at Hull from July 2007 to December 2010 was conducted. Descriptive analysis based on baseline characteristics was performed and slope-estimated glomerular function rates (eGFR) before and after entry to the LCC were calculated. This aided survival analysis using quartiles and Kaplan-Meier. The change in slope eGFR was the study primary end point, but secondary end points, including mortality and time to RRT, were also measured. Results: The average length of time within the LCC was 14 months and of those receiving RRT, 61% received this intervention within one year compared with 38% after 1 year. The rapidly declining rate of eGFR prior to entry into the LCC was predictive of both those who would need haemodialysis sooner within a mean of 21 months and of mortality within an average of 26.3 months. Slope eGFRs before and after entry into the LCC showed that 63.3% of patients improved on entry into the LCC. Conclusions: The LCC impacts the rate of decline in eGFR. A rapidly declining eGFR prior to entering the LCC was predictive of RRT requirement. There was no significant impact on mortality.