Purpose Biochemical remission (BR), gross total resection (GTR), and intraoperative cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) leaks are important metrics in transsphenoidal surgery for acromegaly, and prediction of their likelihood using machine learning would be clinically advantageous. We aim to develop and externally validate clinical prediction models for outcomes after transsphenoidal surgery for acromegaly. Methods Using data from two registries, we develop and externally validate machine learning models for GTR, BR, and CSF leaks after endoscopic transsphenoidal surgery in acromegalic patients. For the model development a registry from Bologna, Italy was used. External validation was then performed using data from Zurich, Switzerland. Gender, age, prior surgery, as well as Hardy and Knosp classification were used as input features. Discrimination and calibration metrics were assessed. Results The derivation cohort consisted of 307 patients (43.3% male; mean [SD] age, 47.2 [12.7] years). GTR was achieved in 226 (73.6%) and BR in 245 (79.8%) patients. In the external validation cohort with 46 patients, 31 (75.6%) achieved GTR and 31 (77.5%) achieved BR. Area under the curve (AUC) at external validation was 0.75 (95% confidence interval: 0.59–0.88) for GTR, 0.63 (0.40–0.82) for BR, as well as 0.77 (0.62–0.91) for intraoperative CSF leaks. While prior surgery was the most important variable for prediction of GTR, age, and Hardy grading contributed most to the predictions of BR and CSF leaks, respectively. Conclusions Gross total resection, biochemical remission, and CSF leaks remain hard to predict, but machine learning offers potential in helping to tailor surgical therapy. We demonstrate the feasibility of developing and externally validating clinical prediction models for these outcomes after surgery for acromegaly and lay the groundwork for development of a multicenter model with more robust generalization.

Purpose Volumetric assessments, such as extent of resection (EOR) or residual tumor volume, are essential criterions in glioma resection surgery. Our goal is to develop and validate segmentation machine learning models for pre- and postoperative magnetic resonance imaging scans, allowing us to assess the percentagewise tumor reduction after intracranial surgery for gliomas. Methods For the development of the preoperative segmentation model (U-Net), MRI scans of 1053 patients from the Multimodal Brain Tumor Segmentation Challenge (BraTS) 2021 as well as from patients who underwent surgery at the University Hospital in Zurich were used. Subsequently, the model was evaluated on a holdout set containing 285 images from the same sources. The postoperative model was developed using 72 scans and validated on 45 scans obtained from the BraTS 2015 and Zurich dataset. Performance is evaluated using Dice Similarity score, Jaccard coefficient and Hausdorff 95%. Results We were able to achieve an overall mean Dice Similarity Score of 0.59 and 0.29 on the pre- and postoperative holdout sets, respectively. Our algorithm managed to determine correct EOR in 44.1%. Conclusion Although our models are not suitable for clinical use at this point, the possible applications are vast, going from automated lesion detection to disease progression evaluation. Precise determination of EOR is a challenging task, but we managed to show that deep learning can provide fast and objective estimates.

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