The issue of export diversification has been contentious in Nigeria due to the country's unstable growth pattern which is majorly associated with instability in the international oil market and the poor performance of other sectors of the economy. Therefore, this study examines the link between export diversification and economic growth in Nigeria from 1962 to 2016. The study utilizes the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique. The result of this study shows that export diversification has a positive but insignificant influence on economic growth in Nigeria. The above result implies that the oil sector still dominates the Nigerian economy while the diversification drive of the government has not been significant in other sectors of the economy. Thus, the study recommends the need for conscious economic policies that would promote the diversification of the entire non-oil sector of the economy. The study concludes that export diversification is an insignificant determinant of economic growth in Nigeria. AbstrakMasalah diversifikasi ekspor telah diperdebatkan di Nigeria, karena pola pertumbuhan negara yang tidak stabil yang sebagian besar terkait dengan ketidakstabilan di pasar minyak internasional dan buruknya kinerja sektor-sektor ekonomi lainnya. Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini meneliti hubungan antara diversifikasi ekspor dan pertumbuhan ekonomi di Nigeria dari tahun 1962 hingga 2016. Penelitian ini menggunakan teknik Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa diversifikasi ekspor memiliki pengaruh positif tetapi tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Nigeria. Hasil di atas menyiratkan bahwa sektor minyak masih mendominasi ekonomi Nigeria sementara dorongan diversifikasi pemerintah belum signifikan di sektor-sektor ekonomi lainnya. Dengan demikian, studi ini merekomendasikan perlunya kebijakan ekonomi sadar yang akan mempromosikan diversifikasi seluruh sektor ekonomi non-minyak. Studi ini menyimpulkan bahwa diversifikasi ekspor merupakan faktor penentu yang tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Nigeria.Kata Kunci: diversifikasi ekspor, pertumbuhan ekonomi, auto-regressive distributed lag JEL Code: C32, F16, O47
This study examines the relationship between trade openness and unemployment rate in Nigeria from 1980 to 2018. The study utilized the auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique and the result of the study shows that trade openness had negative and significant impact on unemployment rate in Nigeria. The implication of this result is that trade openness provides employment opportunities, which reduces the unemployment rate in Nigeria. Thus, the study concludes that trade openness is a significant determinant of unemployment in Nigeria. The study recommends the need for conscious economic policies that would promote foreign private investment, capable of enhancing aggregate volume of investment in the country and contribute to employment generation in the Nigeria. Finally, government needs to explore new marketing areas for foreign investors which would also contribute to employment generation.
This study examines the relationship among exchange rate fluctuations, foreign direct investment, and financial development in Nigeria over the period 1970 to 2020. The study utilizes the Autoregressive distribution lag estimation technique to examine the relationship among the variables of interest. The results of the study show that foreign direct investment has a positive relationship with the level of exchange rate fluctuations, however, trade openness and inflation have a negative effect on the flow of foreign direct investment into Nigeria. The study observed that the interactive effect of exchange rate fluctuations and foreign direct investment has a negative effect on the level of financial development in Nigeria. Therefore, this study recommends that there is a need for the Nigerian government to implement policies aimed at improving the interaction between the level of exchange rate and foreign direct investment which in turn would have a positive impact on the development of the financial sector.
This study examines the impact of fiscal, monetary and trade policies on Nigerian economic growth from 1985 to 2020. This study adopts endogenous growth model (AK model) as its theoretical framework. The unit root test results reveal that there is mixed level of stationarity in the variables. The bound test result shows that the variables cointegrate. The ARDL long-run result shows that fiscal policies stimulate economic growth, while on the contrary, trade policies deter Nigerian economic growth. The short-run result shows that the fiscal policies has an inconsistent impact on Nigerian economic growth and thus differs from the long-run result; while government spending continues to drive economic growth in Nigeria, government revenues have no effect on the growth of the economy. The result of the impact of monetary policies shows that interest rate impels growth of the economy while money supply deters growth of Nigeria’s economy; lastly, the trade policies maintain her negative influence on the economy in both the long run and short run. Sequel to the findings, the study recommends the following: Policymakers should place more emphasis on using fiscal policy which was found to be stimulating the country's growth rate. Whenever it is expedient to use monetary policy to stimulate economic growth, policy makers should make use of interest rates as it stimulates the growth of the economy in the short run. The government should review her trade policies to reduce import by encouraging consumption of local products and motivate exporters of goods (raw material) to refine the products before exporting such.
This study employs binary logistic regression technique to explore the impact of household debt-servicing burden on expenditure patterns in South-West geo-political region of Nigeria, using Ekiti State as a case study. Questionnaires were randomly distributed to 2500 households, and the results unveil that households with high income, large family-size and heads within the age group (40 and above) were more susceptible to debtburden. In addition, the paper highlighted that indebtedness compromises the quality of nutrition and health status of household members. Based on the above findings, we conclude that high indebtedness and debt burden trajectories cause deleterious effects on household consumption patterns and overall economic well-being. Thus, household heads should inculcate fiscal discipline which promotes saving culture and averts future shocks that could emanate from precautionary demands. Second, debt providers should regulate loans in cognizance to household repayment capacity and other stipulated policies which break the vicious cycle arising from over-indebtedness, install stability and spur economic development.
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