We analyse global export data within the Economic Complexity framework. We couple the new economic dimension Complexity, which captures how sophisticated products are, with an index called logPRODY, a measure of the income of the respective exporters. Products’ aggregate motion is treated as a 2-dimensional dynamical system in the Complexity-logPRODY plane. We find that this motion can be explained by a quantitative model involving the competition on the markets, that can be mapped as a scalar field on the Complexity-logPRODY plane and acts in a way akin to a potential. This explains the movement of products towards areas of the plane in which the competition is higher. We analyse market composition in more detail, finding that for most products it tends, over time, to a characteristic configuration, which depends on the Complexity of the products. This market configuration, which we called asymptotic, is characterized by higher levels of competition.

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We present a novel system for singing synthesis, based on attention. Starting from a musical score with notes and lyrics, we build a phoneme-level multi stream note embedding. The embedding contains the information encoded in the score regarding pitch, duration and the phonemes to be pronounced on each note. This note representation is used to condition an attention-based sequence-to-sequence architecture, in order to generate mel-spectrograms. Our model demonstrates attention can be successfully applied to the singing synthesis field. The system requires considerably less explicit modelling of voice features such as F0 patterns, vibratos, and note and phoneme durations, than most models in the literature. However, we observe that completely dispensing with any duration modelling introduces occasional instabilities in the generated spectrograms. We train an autoregressive WaveNet to be used as a neural vocoder to synthesise the mel-spectrograms produced by the sequence-to-sequence architecture, using a combination of speech and singing data.

Background: Despite several studies having identified factors associated with successful treatment outcomes in rheumatoid arthritis (RA), there is a lack of accurate predictive models for sustained remission in patients on biologic agents. To the best of our knowledge, no machine learning (ML) approaches apart from logistic regression (LR) have ever been tried on this class of problems.Methods: In this longitudinal study, patients with RA who started a biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (bDMARD) in a tertiary care center were analyzed. Demographic and clinical characteristics were collected at treatment baseline, 12-month, and 24-month follow-up. A wrapper feature selection algorithm was used to determine an attribute core set. Four different ML algorithms, namely, LR, random forest, K-nearest neighbors, and extreme gradient boosting, were then trained and validated with 10-fold cross-validation to predict 24-month sustained DAS28 (Disease Activity Score on 28 joints) remission. The performances of the algorithms were then compared assessing accuracy, precision, and recall.Results: Our analysis included 367 patients (female 323/367, 88%) with mean age ± SD of 53.7 ± 12.5 years at bDMARD baseline. Sustained DAS28 remission was achieved by 175 (47.2%) of 367 patients. The attribute core set used to train algorithms included acute phase reactant levels, Clinical Disease Activity Index, Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index, as well as several clinical characteristics.