Background Severe traumatic injury can lead to immune dysfunction that renders trauma patients susceptible to nosocomial infections (NI) and prolonged intensive care unit (ICU) stays. We hypothesized that early circulating biomarker patterns following trauma would correlate with sustained immune dysregulation associated with NI and remote organ failure. Methods In a cohort of 472 blunt trauma survivors studied over an 8-year period, 127 patients (27%) were diagnosed with NI versus 345 trauma patients without NI. To perform a pairwise, case-control study with 1:1 matching, 44 of the NI patients were compared with 44 no-NI trauma patients selected by matching patient demographics and injury characteristics. Plasma obtained upon admission and over time were assayed for 26 inflammatory mediators and analyzed for the presence of dynamic networks. Results Significant differences in ICU length of stay (LOS), hospital LOS, and days on mechanical ventilation were observed in the NI patients versus no-NI patients. Although NI was not detected until day 7, multiple mediators were significantly elevated within the first 24 hours in patients who developed NI. Circulating inflammation biomarkers exhibited 4 distinct dynamic patterns, of which 2 clearly distinguish patients destined to develop NI from those who did not. Mediator network connectivity analysis revealed a higher, coordinated degree of activation of both innate and lymphoid pathways in the NI patients over the initial 24 hours. Conclusions These studies implicate unique dynamic immune responses, reflected in circulating biomarkers that differentiate patients prone to persistent critical illness and infections following injury, independent of mechanism of injury, injury severity, age, or sex.

Objective Blunt trauma patients may present with similar demographics and injury severity, yet differ with regard to survival. We hypothesized that this divergence was due to different trajectories of systemic inflammation, and utilized computational analyses to define these differences. Design, Setting, and Patients From a cohort of 493 victims of blunt trauma, we conducted a pairwise, retrospective, case-control study of patients who survived over 24h but ultimately died (non-survivors; n=19) and patients who, following ICU admission, went on to be discharged (survivors; n=19). Data on systemic inflammatory mediators assessed within the first 24h and over 7d were analyzed with computational modeling to infer dynamic networks of inflammation. A mouse model of trauma/hemorrhage was used to verify hypotheses derived from the clinical study. Interventions None in patients. Neutralizing anti-IL-17A antibody in mice. Measurements and Main Results Network density among inflammatory mediators in non-survivors increased in parallel with organ dysfunction scores over 7d, suggesting the presence of early, self-sustaining, pathological inflammation involving HMGB1, IL-23, and the Th17 pathway. Survivors demonstrated a pattern commensurate with a self-resolving, predominantly lymphoid response, including higher levels of the reparative cytokine IL-22. Mice subjected to trauma/hemorrhage exhibited reduced organ damage when treated with anti-IL-17A. Conclusions Variable type 17 immune responses are hallmarks of organ damage, survival, and mortality following blunt trauma, and suggest a lymphoid cell-based switch from self-resolving to self-sustaining inflammation.

Significance: Traumatic injury elicits a complex, dynamic, multidimensional inflammatory response that is intertwined with complications such as multiple organ dysfunction and nosocomial infection. The complex interplay between inflammation and physiology in critical illness remains a challenge for translational research, including the extrapolation to human disease from animal models. Recent Advances: Over the past decade, we and others have attempted to decipher the biocomplexity of inflammation in these settings of acute illness, using computational models to improve clinical translation. In silico modeling has been suggested as a computationally based framework for integrating data derived from basic biology experiments as well as preclinical and clinical studies. Critical Issues: Extensive studies in cells, mice, and human blunt trauma patients have led us to suggest (i) that while an adequate level of inflammation is required for healing post-trauma, inflammation can be harmful when it becomes self-sustaining via a damage-associated molecular pattern/Toll-like receptor-driven feed-forward circuit; (ii) that chemokines play a central regulatory role in driving either self-resolving or selfmaintaining inflammation that drives the early activation of both classical innate and more recently recognized lymphoid pathways; and (iii) the presence of multiple thresholds and feedback loops, which could significantly affect the propagation of inflammation across multiple body compartments. Future Directions: These insights from data-driven models into the primary drivers and interconnected networks of inflammation have been used to generate mechanistic computational models. Together, these models may be used to gain basic insights as well as serving to help define novel biomarkers and therapeutic targets. Antioxid. Redox Signal. 23, 1370-1387.Trauma: A Significant Burden T rauma/hemorrhagic shock remains the leading cause of death in patients younger than 45 years (70). It is the third leading cause of death worldwide, resulting in five million or 10% of all deaths annually and thus considered the fifth leading cause of significant disability (137). Traumatic injury is a pandemic disease, one that affects every nation in the world regardless of the level of socioeconomic development (70, 71).The disease is acute in onset, but often results in chronic, debilitating health problems that have effects beyond the individual victims. The financial impact of traumatic injuries is staggering: in 2000 in the United States, 10% of hospital discharges were due to injuries, and the direct cost of treating 50 million injury cases was $80.2 billion, with an estimated

Introduction Clinical outcomes following trauma depend on the extent of injury and the host’s response to injury, along with medical care. We hypothesized that dynamic networks of systemic inflammation manifest differently as a function of injury severity in human blunt trauma. Study Design From a cohort of 472 blunt trauma survivors studied following IRB approval, three Injury Severity Score (ISS) sub-cohorts were derived after matching for age and gender: Mild ISS (49 patients [33 males, 16 females; age 42±1.9; ISS 9.5±0.4]); Moderate ISS: (49 patients [33 males, 16 females; age 42±1.9; ISS 19.9±0.4]) and Severe ISS: (49 patients [33 males, 16 females; age 42±2.5; ISS 33±1.1]). Multiple inflammatory mediators were assessed in serial blood samples. Dynamic Bayesian Network (DyBN) inference was utilized to infer causal relationships based on probabilistic measures. Results ICU length of stay [LOS], total LOS, days on mechanical ventilation, Marshall Multiple Organ Dysfunction Score, prevalence of pre-hospital hypotension and nosocomial infection, as well admission lactate and base deficit were elevated as a function of ISS. Multiple circulating inflammatory mediators were significantly elevated in Severe ISS vs. Moderate or Mild ISS over both the first 24 h and out to 7 days post-injury. Moderate and Mild ISS. DyBN suggested that IL-6 production in Severe ISS was affected by MCP-1/CCL2, MIG/CXCL9, and IP-10/CXCL10; by MCP-1/CCL2 and MIG/CXCL9 in Moderate ISS; and by MIG/CXCL9 alone in Mild ISS over 7 d post-injury. Conclusion ISS correlates linearly with morbidity, prevalence of infection, and early systemic inflammatory connectivity of chemokines to IL-6.

Studies in stringently matched patient cohorts suggest that an episode of prehospital hypotension post trauma leads to early, dynamic reprogramming of systemic inflammation (including differential upstream regulation of interleukin-6), which is associated with worse outcomes.