Purpose
The goal of the study is to examine the effects of news sentiment and topics dominating in the news field prior to the initial public offering (IPO) on the IPO underpricing.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors’ approach has several steps. The first is textual analysis. To detect the dominating topics in the news, the authors use Latent Dirichlet allocation. The authors use bidirectional encoder representations from transformers (BERT) pretrained on financial news corpus to evaluate the tonality of articles. The second is evaluation of feature importance. To this end, a linear regression with robust estimators and Classification and Regression Tree and Random Forest are used. The third is data. The text data consists of 345,731 news articles from Thomson Reuters related to the USA in the date range from 1 January 2011 to 31 May 2018. The data contains all the possible topics from the website, excluding anything related to sports. The sample of 386 initial public offerings completed in the USA from 1 January 2011 to 31 May 2018 was collected from Bloomberg Database.
Findings
The authors found that sentiment of the media regarding the companies going public influences IPO underpricing. Some topics, namely, the climate change and environmental policies and the trade war between the US and China, have influence on IPO underpricing if they appear in the media prior to the IPO day.
Originality/value
The puzzle of IPO underpricing is studied from the point of Narrative Economics theory for the first time. While most of the works cover only some specific news segment, we use Thomson Reuters news aggregator, which uses such sources The New York Post, CNN, Fox, Atlantic, The Washington Post ? Buzzfeed. To evaluate the sentiment of the articles, a state-of-the-art approach BERT is used. The hypothesis that some common narratives or topics in the public discussion may impose influence on such example of biased behaviour like IPO underpricing has also found confirmation.
The paper envisages the analysis of the new generation manufacturing-distributive systems. The particular attention is paid to the production function as the analytic instrument allowed evaluating the interrelation between economic results of an enterprise and production factors, which includes the cognitive production factors as well. The rationale for the enlargement of the traditional production functions by means of the transfer from the multiplicative to the logistic dependence has been analyzing. The results of production function modelling on the base of the logistic dependence have been depicted on the open data of a high tech enterprise from 2009 till 2018. The results of production function modelling have shown that the usage of logistic dependence has allowed tracing more precise the transition of production factors to the other path dependency. The inclusion of the cognitive production factors has allowed evaluating their contribution to the economic results of a high-tech enterprise. This work is still in progress and the presented results are preliminary and would be added and specified by the additional research.
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