Summary 1.Modelling the effects of environmental change on populations is a key challenge for ecologists, particularly as the pace of change increases. Currently, modelling efforts are limited by difficulties in establishing robust relationships between environmental drivers and population responses. 2. We developed an integrated capture-recapture state-space model to estimate the effects of two key environmental drivers (stream flow and temperature) on demographic rates (body growth, movement and survival) using a long-term (11 years), high-resolution (individually tagged, sampled seasonally) data set of brook trout (Salvelinus fontinalis) from four sites in a stream network. Our integrated model provides an effective context within which to estimate environmental driver effects because it takes full advantage of data by estimating (latent) state values for missing observations, because it propagates uncertainty among model components and because it accounts for the major demographic rates and interactions that contribute to annual survival. 3. We found that stream flow and temperature had strong effects on brook trout demography. Some effects, such as reduction in survival associated with low stream flow and high temperature during the summer season, were consistent across sites and age classes, suggesting that they may serve as robust indicators of vulnerability to environmental change. Other survival effects varied across ages, sites and seasons, indicating that flow and temperature may not be the primary drivers of survival in those cases. Flow and temperature also affected body growth rates; these responses were consistent across sites but differed dramatically between age classes and seasons. Finally, we found that tributary and mainstem sites responded differently to variation in flow and temperature. 4. Annual survival (combination of survival and body growth across seasons) was insensitive to body growth and was most sensitive to flow (positive) and temperature (negative) in the summer and fall. 5. These observations, combined with our ability to estimate the occurrence, magnitude and direction of fish movement between these habitat types, indicated that heterogeneity in response may provide a mechanism providing potential resilience to environmental change. *Correspondence author. E-mail: bletcher@usgs.gov Published 2014. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA Journal of Animal Ecology 2015Ecology , 84, 337-352 doi: 10.1111Ecology /1365Ecology -2656 Given that the challenges we faced in our study are likely to be common to many intensive data sets, the integrated modelling approach could be generally applicable and useful.
Juvenile Atlantic sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus remain in natal rivers for several years prior to out‐migrating to marine environments during later portions of their life history. Data regarding river‐resident juvenile population dynamics are unknown. During the summers of 2004–2007, we performed mark–recapture of juvenile Atlantic sturgeon in the Altamaha River to assess age‐specific abundance, apparent survival, per capita recruitment, and factors influencing recruitment. Estimates indicated that juvenile abundance ranged from 1,072 to 2,033 individuals, and age‐1 and age‐2 individuals comprised greater than 87% of the juvenile population, while age‐3 or older individuals constituted less than 13% of the population. Estimates of apparent survival and per capita recruitment from Pradel models indicated that the juvenile population experienced high annual turnover: apparent survival rates were low (<33%), and per capita recruitment was high (0.82–1.38). Fall discharge, which had a positive relationship with recruitment, was the only factor assessed that significantly explained time variation in per capita recruitment. The findings of this study suggest that juvenile populations at the southern extreme of the Atlantic sturgeon's range may remain in natal rivers for less time than northern counterparts. This is further evidence of life history differences between northern and southern populations of Atlantic sturgeon. Potential findings of density dependence could have major implications for both population recovery and management of this species.
Although the Altamaha River, Georgia, once supported one of the largest fisheries for Atlantic sturgeon Acipenser oxyrinchus in U.S. waters, the fishery was closed in 1997 because of severe overfishing. Since then, no studies have been conducted and population trends have remained unknown. The objective of this study was to estimate annual run size and age structure of the spring spawning migration and to determine genetic relatedness between this population and other Georgia populations. In spring of 2004 and 2005, we sampled the annual spawning run of Atlantic sturgeon in the lower 30 km of the Altamaha River using large‐mesh gill nets. Captured fish were marked with passive integrated transponder tags and released to facilitate a run estimate using a simple Schnabel mark‐recapture estimator. Over the 2 years of the study, we captured 213 individuals, yielding mark‐recapture run estimates of 324 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 143‐667) in 2004 and 386 (95% CI = 216‐787) in 2005. Catch curve analysis yielded annual mortality rates of 17.3% in 2004 and 21.3% in 2005. Genetic analysis showed that the Altamaha River population is distinct from neighboring populations in the Ogeechee and Savannah rivers. The results of this study suggest that after 10 years of federal protection, the Altamaha River population of Atlantic sturgeon appears to be in the early stages of recovery; however, the genetic diversity of the population is surprisingly low. Future studies are needed to monitor population dynamics and genetic structure of the stock to ensure complete recovery.
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