Background: Several registries of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) have been established to better understand its natural history, though their size and duration of follow-up are limited. Here, we describe the large European MultiPartner IPF Registry (EMPIRE) and validate predictors of long-term survival in IPF. Methods: The multinational prospective EMPIRE registry enrolled IPF patients from 48 sites in 10 Central and Eastern European countries since 2014. Survival from IPF diagnosis until death was estimated, accounting for lefttruncation. The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of death for prognostic factors, using restricted cubic splines to fit continuous factors. Results: The cohort included 1620 patients (mean age at diagnosis 67.6 years, 71% male, 63% smoking history), including 75% enrolled within 6 months of diagnosis. Median survival was 4.5 years, with 45% surviving 5 years post-diagnosis. Compared with GAP stage I, mortality was higher with GAP stages II (HR 2.9; 95% CI: 2.3-3.7) and III (HR 4.0; 95% CI: 2.8-5.7) while, with redefined cutoffs , the corresponding HRs were 2.7 (95% CI: 1.8-4.0) and 5.8 (95% CI: 4.0-8.3) respectively. Mortality was higher with concurrent pulmonary hypertension (HR 2.0; 95% CI: 1.5-2.9) and lung cancer (HR 2.6; 95% CI: 1.3-4.9). Conclusions: EMPIRE, one of the largest long-term registries of patients with IPF, provides a more accurate confirmation of prognostic factors and co-morbidities on longer term five-year mortality. It also suggests that some fine-tuning of the indices for mortality may provide a more accurate long-term prognostic profile for these patients.

KEY WORDSchronic obstructive pulmonary disease, computed tomography, emphysema score, endobronchial ultrasound, markers of remodelling ABSTRACT INTRODUCTION Airway remodeling plays an important role in the development of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Imaging methods, such as computed tomography (CT) and endobronchial ultrasound (EBUS), may be useful in the assessment of structural alterations in the lungs.OBJECTIVES The aim of this study was to evaluate a relationship between the severity of emphysema assessed by chest CT, the thickness of bronchial wall layers measured by EBUS, and the markers of remodeling in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) in patients with COPD. PATIENTS AND METHODSThe study included 33 patients with COPD who underwent pulmonary function tests, emphysema score assessment by chest CT, as well as bronchofiberoscopy with EBUS in order to measure the total bronchial wall thickness and, separately, layers L 1 , L 2 , and L 3-5 . Selected remodeling (matrix metalloproteinase 9 [MMP-9], tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1, transforming growth factor β 1 [TGF-β 1 ]) and inflammatory markers (neutrophil elastase, eosinophil cationic protein) were measured in BALF samples using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay.RESULTS MMP-9 levels in BALF were significantly higher in patients with very severe bronchial obstruction than in those with moderate and mild bronchial obstruction (P = 0.02), and showed a negative correlation with forced expiratory volume in 1 second (r = -0.538, P = 0.002). The thickness of L 1 and L 2 , which histologically correspond to the mucosa, submucosa, and smooth muscle, demonstrated a positive correlation with TGF-β 1 levels in BALF (r = 0.366, P = 0.046 and r = 0.425, P = 0.02) and the thickness of L 1 showed a negative association with neutrophil elastase levels (r = -0.508, P = 0.004). There was no significant correlation between the analyzed markers in BALF and the emphysema score. CONCLUSIONS Significant correlations of TGF-β 1 and elastase with the thickness of bronchial wall layers, and of MMP-9 with the severity of obstruction, may suggest the involvement of these markers in airway remodeling in patients with COPD.

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Background Patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) frequently have multiple comorbidities, which may influence survival but go under-recognised in clinical practice. We therefore report comorbidity, antifibrotic treatment use and survival of patients with IPF observed in the multi-national EMPIRE registry. Methods For this prospective IPF cohort, demographics, comorbidities, survival and causes of death were analysed. Comorbidities were noted by the treating physician based on the patient’s past medical history or as reported during follow-up. Comorbidities were defined as prevalent when noted at enrolment, or as incident when recorded during follow-up. Survival was analysed by Kaplan–Meier estimates, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards models. Hazard ratios (HR) were adjusted for gender, age, smoking status and FVC at enrolment. Results A population of 3,580 patients with IPF from 11 Central and Eastern European countries was followed every 6 months for up to 6 years. At enrolment, 91.3% of patients reported at least one comorbidity, whereas more than one-third (37.8%) reported four or more comorbidities. Five-year survival was 53.7% in patients with no prevalent comorbidities, whereas it was 48.4%, 47.0%, 43.8% and 41.1% in patients with 1, 2, 3 and ≥ 4 comorbidities, respectively. The presence of multiple comorbidities at enrolment was associated with significantly worse survival (log-rank test P = 0.007). Adjusted HRs indicate that risk of death was increased by 44% in patients with IPF reporting ≥ 4 comorbidities at baseline compared with no comorbidity (P = 0.021). The relationship between number of comorbidities and decreased survival was also seen in patients receiving antifibrotic treatment (63% of all patients; log-rank test P < 0.001). Comorbidity as cause of death was identified in at least 26.1% of deaths. Conclusions The majority of patients with IPF demonstrate comorbidities, and many have comorbidity-related deaths. Increasing numbers of comorbidities are associated with worse survival; and this pattern is also present in patients receiving antifibrotic therapy.