The objectives are to explore the effect of a random forest algorithm on the state prediction and fault classification of smart meters, so that the smart meters can run more stably. Based on the principle of the random forest algorithm and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) algorithm, its theoretical basis and application are deeply analyzed and improved. An improved fault classification and state prediction model of smart meters is designed based on a random forest-improved LightGBM algorithm. The built model algorithm is evaluated by utilizing public data sets. The results show that, by preprocessing the fault data set of smart meters, 8 fault feature types including fault type, working time, and fault month are obtained. When the improved LightGBM algorithm is trained based on random forest, the average accuracy of the algorithm is 67.65%, the average recall rate is 64.11%, and the average F1 value is 65.73%. Meanwhile, the difference between the algorithm and the random forest algorithm and the Correlation-based Feature Selection (CFS) algorithm is studied. Therefore, the prediction accuracy and fault classification of the constructed model algorithm for smart meters are higher than those of the other two algorithms. It indicates that the algorithm has a good application effect and high practical application value and can provide a scientific and useful reference for the follow-up research of smart meters.
In an open electricity market, increased accuracy and real-time availability of electricity price forecasts can help market parties participate effectively in market operations and management. As the penetration of clean energy increases, it brings new challenges to electricity price forecasting. An electricity price forecasting model is constructed in this paper for markets containing a high proportion of wind and solar power, where the scenario with a high coefficient of variation (COV) caused by the high frequency of low electricity prices is particularly concerned. The deep extreme learning machine optimized by the sparrow search algorithm (SSA-DELM) is proposed to make predictions on the model. The results show that wind–load ratio and solar–load ratio are the key input variables for forecasting in power markets with high proportions of wind and solar energy. The SSA-DELM possesses better electricity price forecasting performance in the scenario with a high COV and is more suitable for disordered time series models, which can be confirmed in comparison with LSTM.
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