Purpose: The purpose of this study is to develop and validate a nomogram model combing radiomics features and clinical characteristics to preoperatively differentiate grade 1 and grade 2/3 tumors in patients with pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNET). Experimental Design: A total of 137 patients who underwent contrast-enhanced CT from two hospitals were included in this study. The patients from the second hospital (n ¼ 51) were selected as an independent validation set. The arterial phase in contrast-enhanced CT was selected for radiomics feature extraction. The Mann-Whitney U test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were applied for feature selection and radiomics signature construction. A combined nomogram model was developed by incorporating the radiomics signature with clinical factors. The association between the nomogram model and the Ki-67 index and rate of nuclear mitosis were also investigated respectively. The utility of the proposed model was evaluated using the ROC, area under ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The Kaplan-Meier (KM) analysis was used for survival analysis. Results: An eight-feature-combined radiomics signature was constructed as a tumor grade predictor. The nomogram model combining the radiomics signature with clinical stage showed the best performance (training set: AUC ¼ 0.907; validation set: AUC ¼ 0.891). The calibration curve and DCA demonstrated the clinical usefulness of the proposed nomogram. A significant correlation was observed between the developed nomogram and Ki-67 index and rate of nuclear mitosis, respectively. The KM analysis showed a significant difference between the survival of predicted grade 1 and grade 2/3 groups (P ¼ 0.002). Conclusions: The combined nomogram model developed could be useful in differentiating grade 1 and grade 2/3 tumor in patients with pNETs.
Purpose : Accurate lymph node (LN) status evaluation for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients is essential for surgical planning. This study aimed to develop and validate a prediction model for preoperative LN status evaluation in ICC patients. Methods and Materials : A group of 106 ICC patients, who were diagnosed between April 2011 and February 2016, was used for prediction model training. Image features were extracted from T1-weighted contrast-enhanced MR images. A support vector machine (SVM) model was built by using the most LN status-related features, which were selected using the maximum relevance minimum redundancy (mRMR) algorithm. The mRMR method ranked each feature according to its relevance to the LN status and redundancy with other features. An SVM score was calculated for each patient to reflect the LN metastasis (LNM) probability from the SVM model. Finally, a combination nomogram was constructed by incorporating the SVM score and clinical features. An independent group of 42 patients who were diagnosed from March 2016 to November 2017 was used to validate the prediction models. The model performances were evaluated on discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. Results : The SVM model was constructed based on five selected image features. Significant differences were found between patients with LNM and non-LNM in SVM scores in both groups (the training group: 0.5466 (interquartile range (IQR), 0.4059-0.6985) vs. 0.3226 (IQR, 0.0527-0.4659), P <0.0001; the validation group: 0.5831 (IQR, 0.3641-0.8162) vs. 0.3101 (IQR, 0.1029-0.4661), P =0.0015). The combination nomogram based on the SVM score, the CA 19-9 level, and the MR-reported LNM factor showed better discrimination in separating patients with LNM and non-LNM, comparing to the SVM model alone (AUC: the training group: 0.842 vs. 0.788; the validation group: 0.870 vs. 0.787). Favorable clinical utility was observed using the decision curve analysis for the nomogram. Conclusion : The nomogram, incorporating the SVM score, CA 19-9 level and the MR-reported LNM factor, provided an individualized LN status evaluation and helped clinicians guide the surgical decisions.
Introduction: The emerging field of “radiomics” has considerable potential in disease diagnosis, pathologic grading, prognosis evaluation, and prediction of treatment response. We aimed to develop a novel radiomics nomogram based on radiomics features and clinical characteristics that could preoperatively predict early recurrence (ER) of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after partial hepatectomy.Methods: A predictive model was developed from a training cohort comprising 139 ICC patients diagnosed between January 2010 and June 2014. Radiomics features were extracted from arterial-phase image of contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. Feature selection and construction of a “radiomics signature” were through Spearman's rank correlation and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression. Combined with clinical characteristics, a radiomics nomogram was developed with multivariable logistic regression. Performance of the nomogram was evaluated with regard to discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. An independent validation cohort involving 70 patients recruited from July 2014 to March 2016 was used to evaluate the utility of the nomogram developed.Results: The radiomics signature, consisting of nine features, differed significantly between ER patients and non-ER patients in training and validation cohorts. The area under the curve (AUC) of the radiomics signature in training and validation cohorts was 0.82 (confidence interval [CI], 0.74–0.88) and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.65–0.86), respectively. The AUC of the radiomics nomogram combining the radiomics signature and clinical stage in the two cohorts was 0.90 (95%CI, 0.83–0.94) and 0.86 (95% CI, 0.76–0.93), respectively. Decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical usefulness of the radiomics nomogram.Conclusion: The non-invasive radiomics nomogram developed using the radiomics signature and clinical stage could be used to predict ER of ICC after partial hepatectomy.
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