The concept of a metapopulation acknowledges local extinctions as a natural part of the dynamics of a patchily distributed population. However, if extinctions are not balanced by recolonizations or if there is a high degree of spatial synchrony of local extinctions, this poses a threat to and will reduce the metapopulation persistence time. Here we show that, in a metapopulation network of 378 pond patches used by the tree frog (Hyla arborea), even though extinctions are frequent (mean extinction probability p eˆ0 .24) they pose no threat to the metapopulation as they are balanced by recolonizations ( p cˆ0 .33). In any one year there was a pattern of large populations tending to persist while small populations became extinct. The total number of individuals belonging to populations that went extinct was small (5 5%) compared with those populations that persisted. A spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated no clustering of local extinctions. The tree frog metapopulation studied consisted of a set of larger, persistent populations mixed with smaller populations characterized by high turnover dynamics.
Genetic diversity is expected to decrease in small and isolated populations as a consequence of founder effects, bottlenecks, inbreeding and genetic drift. In this study we analyse temporal and spatial effects on genetic variation and progeny viability of the European tree frog (Hyla arborea) at two scales. First, the Swedish distribution has been isolated from the continental distribution for more than 8000 thousand years, and secondly, within Sweden, recent habitat alterations that have taken place during this century have increased isolation between local populations. Genetic variation and progeny survival in relation to isolation was studied within the entire Swedish distribution of the tree frog. Allozyme electrophoresis analysis of froglets, sampled across the Swedish distribution, revealed a low overall genetic variation (1.06 alleles/locus) at the protein level in comparison with continental populations (1.54–1.68 alleles/locus). However, egg hatchability (97 %) and early larval survival (95 %) were not lower than in other parts of the tree frog distribution or in other anuran species. Within the Swedish distribution, early larval survival was lower in isolated breeding ponds than in more central ones. However, no differences in genetic variation were found in relation to isolation. Polymorphism was detected only at a single locus, and was restricted geographically to the eastern part of the Swedish distribution. Bottlenecks due to climatic changes and fragmentation of suitable habitat (primarily natural pastures with ponds) are suggested as possible causes of the low genetic diversity of the Swedish tree frog population.
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