The contemporary science grows at enormously accelerated rate. In the present paper, the topicality of both scientific work and applied researches is emphasized. In addition, the author’s comprehension is indicated as concerns the necessity of both structure and activity modernization of the Space Research and Technologies Institute. A particular programme for management and advance of the Institute is suggested.
In this paper we present an approach for forecasting the imminent regional seismic activity by using geomagnetic data and Earth tide data. The time periods of seismic activity are the time periods around the Sun-Moon extreme of the diurnal average value of the tide vector module. For analyzing the geomagnetic data behaviour we use diurnal standard deviation of geomagnetic vector components F (North, East, Down) for calculating the time variance GeomagSignal. The Sun storm influence is avoided by using data for daily A-indexes (published by NOAA). The precursor signal for forecasting the incoming regional seismic activity is a simple function of the present and previous day GeomagSignal and A-indexes values. The reliability of the geomagnetic "when, regional" precursor is demonstrated by using statistical analysis of day difference between the times of "predicted" and occurred earthquakes. The base of the analysis is a natural hypothesis that the "predicted" earthquake is the one whose surface energy density in the monitoring point is bigger than the energy densities of all occurred earthquakes in the same period and region. The reliability of the approach was tested using the INTERMAGNET stations data located in Bulgaria, Panagurishte, PAG (in the time of EU IRSES BlackSeaHazNet (2011-2014) project. The steps of program for solving the "when, where and how" earthquake prediction problem are shortly described. S. Cht. Mavrodiev et al. 103
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