Regionally organized winter (DJF) precipitation anomalies over North America are presented in association with cold and warm phases of the ~ Nifio-Southern Oscillation. Variations in low-level flow from moisture sources aDd in upper-level dynamic properties are diagnosed for eKb anomalous precipitation region using DJF composites of upper-and lower-tropospheric winds. sea level pressure. divergence, and vorticity advection. Variance analysis determines which precipitation and circulation patterns are robust and evaluates the predictability of the extreme phase composites with respect to the climatology. In cold phases. the P-=ific Northwest aDd the lower Mississippi Valley regions have above-nonnal precipitation tOtals. The heavier precipitation over the Pacific Northwest is the result of a multilevel onshore flow forced by an amplified Pacific high off the California coast and a single zonal upper-tropospheric jet. In the Lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys, the equatorward entrance region of a west-east-oriented jet core combines with anomalous positive vorticity advection (pV A) and a convergent low-level flow off the Gulf of Mexico. resulting in heavier precipitation. Drier than nonnal conditions occur in coastal Aluka aDd California due to negative vorticity advection anomalies aloft, low-level divergence. and weaker onshore ftow. The increased precipitation over the southern Mississippi Valley and the Pacific Northwest, and the drier conditions over Florida. are statistically robust. During warm phases. more precipitation occurs in the coastal regions of Alaska. California, aDd the Gulf of Mexico, whereas drier conditions persist over the Pacific Northwest. Alaskan precipitation is enhanced by strong. convergent. onshore ftow associated with a deeper Aleutian low. upper-level PV A. aDd the northern branch of a split jet pattern. A strong southern subtropical branch of the split jet provides dynamic support for uplift of moisture along the Gulf Coast. The drier conditions in the Pacific Northwest and the wet conditions in Texas aDd Florida are predictable relative to the climatology and are statistically robust.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.