Background Diagnosis of significant coronary artery disease (CAD) in at risk patients can be challenging, typically including non-invasive imaging modalities and ultimately the gold standard of coronary angiography. Previous studies suggested that peripheral blood gene expression can reflect the presence of CAD. Objective To validate a previously developed 23-gene expression-based classifier for diagnosis of obstructive CAD in non-diabetic patients. Design Multi-center prospective trial with blood samples drawn prior to coronary angiography. Setting Thirty-nine US centers. Patients An independent validation cohort of 526 non-diabetic patients clinically-indicated for coronary angiography Intervention None. Measurements Receiver-operator characteristics (ROC) analysis of classifier score measured by real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), additivity to clinical factors, and reclassification of patient disease likelihood vs disease status defined by quantitative coronary angiography (QCA). Obstructive CAD defined as ≥50% stenosis in ≥1 major coronary artery by QCA. Results The overall ROC curve area (AUC) was 0.70 ±0.02, (p<0.001); the classifier added to clinical variables (Diamond-Forrester method) (AUC 0.72 with classifier vs 0.66 without, p = 0.003). Net reclassification was improved by the classifier over Diamond-Forrester and an expanded clinical model (both p<0.001). At a score threshold corresponding to 20% obstructive CAD likelihood (14.75), the sensitivity and specificity were 85% and 43%, yielding NPV of 83% and PPV 46%, with 33% of patient scores below this threshold. Limitations The study excluded patients with chronic inflammatory disorders, elevated white blood counts or cardiac protein markers, and diabetes. Conclusions This non-invasive whole blood test, based on gene expression and demographics, may be useful for assessment of obstructive CAD in non-diabetic patients without known CAD. Primary Funding Source CardioDx, Inc.

BackgroundAlterations in gene expression in peripheral blood cells have been shown to be sensitive to the presence and extent of coronary artery disease (CAD). A non-invasive blood test that could reliably assess obstructive CAD likelihood would have diagnostic utility.ResultsMicroarray analysis of RNA samples from a 195 patient Duke CATHGEN registry case:control cohort yielded 2,438 genes with significant CAD association (p < 0.05), and identified the clinical/demographic factors with the largest effects on gene expression as age, sex, and diabetic status. RT-PCR analysis of 88 CAD classifier genes confirmed that diabetic status was the largest clinical factor affecting CAD associated gene expression changes. A second microarray cohort analysis limited to non-diabetics from the multi-center PREDICT study (198 patients; 99 case: control pairs matched for age and sex) evaluated gene expression, clinical, and cell population predictors of CAD and yielded 5,935 CAD genes (p < 0.05) with an intersection of 655 genes with the CATHGEN results. Biological pathway (gene ontology and literature) and statistical analyses (hierarchical clustering and logistic regression) were used in combination to select 113 genes for RT-PCR analysis including CAD classifiers, cell-type specific markers, and normalization genes.RT-PCR analysis of these 113 genes in a PREDICT cohort of 640 non-diabetic subject samples was used for algorithm development. Gene expression correlations identified clusters of CAD classifier genes which were reduced to meta-genes using LASSO. The final classifier for assessment of obstructive CAD was derived by Ridge Regression and contained sex-specific age functions and 6 meta-gene terms, comprising 23 genes. This algorithm showed a cross-validated estimated AUC = 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.81) in ROC analysis.ConclusionsWe have developed a whole blood classifier based on gene expression, age and sex for the assessment of obstructive CAD in non-diabetic patients from a combination of microarray and RT-PCR data derived from studies of patients clinically indicated for invasive angiography.Clinical trial registration informationPREDICT, Personalized Risk Evaluation and Diagnosis in the Coronary Tree, http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT00500617

BackgroundSmoking is the leading cause of preventable death worldwide and has been shown to increase the risk of multiple diseases including coronary artery disease (CAD). We sought to identify genes whose levels of expression in whole blood correlate with self-reported smoking status.MethodsMicroarrays were used to identify gene expression changes in whole blood which correlated with self-reported smoking status; a set of significant genes from the microarray analysis were validated by qRT-PCR in an independent set of subjects. Stepwise forward logistic regression was performed using the qRT-PCR data to create a predictive model whose performance was validated in an independent set of subjects and compared to cotinine, a nicotine metabolite.ResultsMicroarray analysis of whole blood RNA from 209 PREDICT subjects (41 current smokers, 4 quit ≤ 2 months, 64 quit > 2 months, 100 never smoked; NCT00500617) identified 4214 genes significantly correlated with self-reported smoking status. qRT-PCR was performed on 1,071 PREDICT subjects across 256 microarray genes significantly correlated with smoking or CAD. A five gene (CLDND1, LRRN3, MUC1, GOPC, LEF1) predictive model, derived from the qRT-PCR data using stepwise forward logistic regression, had a cross-validated mean AUC of 0.93 (sensitivity=0.78; specificity=0.95), and was validated using 180 independent PREDICT subjects (AUC=0.82, CI 0.69-0.94; sensitivity=0.63; specificity=0.94). Plasma from the 180 validation subjects was used to assess levels of cotinine; a model using a threshold of 10 ng/ml cotinine resulted in an AUC of 0.89 (CI 0.81-0.97; sensitivity=0.81; specificity=0.97; kappa with expression model = 0.53).ConclusionWe have constructed and validated a whole blood gene expression score for the evaluation of smoking status, demonstrating that clinical and environmental factors contributing to cardiovascular disease risk can be assessed by gene expression.