Twitter is a free social networking and micro-blogging service that enables its
millions of users to send and read each other's “tweets,” or
short, 140-character messages. The service has more than 190 million registered
users and processes about 55 million tweets per day. Useful information about
news and geopolitical events lies embedded in the Twitter stream, which
embodies, in the aggregate, Twitter users' perspectives and reactions to
current events. By virtue of sheer volume, content embedded in the Twitter
stream may be useful for tracking or even forecasting behavior if it can be
extracted in an efficient manner. In this study, we examine the use of
information embedded in the Twitter stream to (1) track rapidly-evolving public
sentiment with respect to H1N1 or swine flu, and (2) track and measure actual
disease activity. We also show that Twitter can be used as a measure of public
interest or concern about health-related events. Our results show that estimates
of influenza-like illness derived from Twitter chatter accurately track reported
disease levels.
The Internet is an important source of health information. Thus, the frequency of Internet searches may provide information regarding infectious disease activity. As an example, we examined the relationship between searches for influenza and actual influenza occurrence. Using search queries from the Yahoo! search engine ( http://search.yahoo.com ) from March 2004 through May 2008, we counted daily unique queries originating in the United States that contained influenza-related search terms. Counts were divided by the total number of searches, and the resulting daily fraction of searches was averaged over the week. We estimated linear models, using searches with 1-10-week lead times as explanatory variables to predict the percentage of cultures positive for influenza and deaths attributable to pneumonia and influenza in the United States. With use of the frequency of searches, our models predicted an increase in cultures positive for influenza 1-3 weeks in advance of when they occurred (P < .001), and similar models predicted an increase in mortality attributable to pneumonia and influenza up to 5 weeks in advance (P < .001). Search-term surveillance may provide an additional tool for disease surveillance.
GBV-C viremia was significantly associated with prolonged survival among HIV-positive men 5 to 6 years after HIV seroconversion, but not at 12 to 18 months, and the loss of GBV-C RNA by 5 to 6 years after HIV seroconversion was associated with the poorest prognosis. Understanding the mechanisms of interaction between GBV-C and HIV may provide insight into the progression of HIV disease.
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