Parallel tempering, or replica exchange, is a popular method for simulating complex systems. The idea is to run parallel simulations at different temperatures, and at a given swap rate exchange configurations between the parallel simulations. From the perspective of large deviations it is optimal to let the swap rate tend to infinity and it is possible to construct a corresponding simulation scheme, known as infinite swapping. In this paper we propose a novel use of large deviations for empirical measures for a more detailed analysis of the infinite swapping limit in the setting of continuous time jump Markov processes. Using the large deviations rate function and associated stochastic control problems we consider a diagnostic based on temperature assignments, which can be easily computed during a simulation. We show that the convergence of this diagnostic to its a priori known limit is a necessary condition for the convergence of infinite swapping. The rate function is also used to investigate the impact of asymmetries in the underlying potential landscape, and where in the state space poor sampling is most likely to occur.

We study a system of hard rods of finite size in one space dimension, which move by Brownian noise while avoiding overlap. We consider a scaling in which the number of particles tends to infinity while the volume fraction of the rods remains constant; in this limit the empirical measure of the rod positions converges almost surely to a deterministic limit evolution. We prove a large-deviation principle on path space for the empirical measure, by exploiting a one-to-one mapping between the hard-rod system and a system of noninteracting particles on a shorter domain. The large-deviation principle naturally identifies a gradient-flow structure for the limit evolution, with clear interpretations for both the driving functional (an 'entropy') and the dissipation, which in this case is the Wasserstein dissipation.This study is inspired by recent developments in the continuum modelling of multiplespecies interacting particle systems with finite-size effects; for such systems many different modelling choices appear in the literature, raising the question how one can understand such choices in terms of more microscopic models. The results of this paper give a clear answer to this question, albeit for the simpler one-dimensional hard-rod system. For this specific system this result provides a clear understanding of the value and interpretation of different modelling choices, while giving hints for more general systems.

Shot-noise processes are used in applied probability to model a variety of physical systems in, for example, teletraffic theory, insurance and risk theory, and in the engineering sciences. In this paper we prove a large deviation principle for the sample-paths of a general class of multidimensional state-dependent Poisson shot-noise processes. The result covers previously known large deviation results for one-dimensional stateindependent shot-noise processes with light tails. We use the weak convergence approach to large deviations, which reduces the proof to establishing the appropriate convergence of certain controlled versions of the original processes together with relevant results on existence and uniqueness.