"This article presents estimates of the size of emigration from Poland during the 1980s as well as projections concerning the migration patterns in the 1990s. The author anticipates a contraction of the volume of population outflow by some 50 percent: from about 100,000 to about 50,000 per year, on the average. These projections are based upon the examination of the role of a number of incentives and barriers to migration, including economic, demographic and political factors. In the final section, prospects concerning immigration to Poland are briefly discussed."
Land use is defined as a spatial distribution of individual forms of land cover patches, utilised or not utilised by humans within the framework of mutual and spatial relationships. It refers to the functional character of a given terrain, and is also identified with a socio-economic description of the land surface. Changes in land use can be interpreted as a complex and, to some extent, a random process. These assumptions serve as a point of departure in an attempt to evaluate spatial and temporal differences in land use changes in the metropolitan areas of Poland, using the entropy formula. The analysis focuses on population development as a factor that impacts upon land use change. The approach proposed here allows us to study land use dynamics in detail, with the help of cartographic visualisation.
In this article the future evolution of the settlement system of Poland is discussed using selected scenarios anticipated for the European space. For this purpose two alternative reference scenarios are outlined and examined in the light of some specific characteristics of Poland's metropolitan development. The questions posed in this context involve the sustainability of policy assumptions concerning the role of cities of various size categories, as well as factors that could lead to a discontinuity in the trends observed in metropolisation.
The paper by Korcelli organizes metropolitan population dynamics into three categories: (i) the age composition-fertility syndrome, (ii) the mobility evolution syndrome which is related to demo-economic processes such as the interaction between economic change, industrial restructuring and spatial policy, and (iii) the spatial polarization-integration syndrome. The third covers two conflicting aspects of demo-economic change. On the one hand, location of households with respect to skills and occupation implies segregation and real specialization. On the other hand, the composition of employment categories and concentration of knowledge intensive labour force is an important factor in the renewal of the metropolitan economies of industrial nations. One overall result in the comparative analysis is that certain change patterns are common to the metropolitan regions. Two such examples are the rapid convergence to medium household size, and a divergence in age distribution between cores and peripheries. The three case studies contain two capital cities, Helsinki and Warsaw, and one industrial region, Turin. In the 1960s all three regions had a positive population growth. Only in Warsaw did this growth continue in the 1970s, but also in this case at a reduced pace.
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