Background Multidrug-resistant (MDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) strains are a serious health problem in India, also contributing to one-fourth of the global MDR tuberculosis (TB) burden. About 36% of the MDR MTBC strains are reported fluoroquinolone (FQ) resistant leading to high pre-extensively drug-resistant (pre-XDR) and XDR-TB (further resistance against bedaquiline and/or linezolid) rates. Still, factors driving the MDR/pre-XDR epidemic in India are not well defined. Methods In a retrospective study, we analyzed 1852 consecutive MTBC strains obtained from patients from a tertiary care hospital laboratory in Mumbai by whole genome sequencing (WGS). Univariate and multivariate statistics was used to investigate factors associated with pre-XDR. Core genome multi locus sequence typing, time scaled haplotypic density (THD) method and homoplasy analysis were used to analyze epidemiological success, and positive selection in different strain groups, respectively. Results In total, 1016 MTBC strains were MDR, out of which 703 (69.2%) were pre-XDR and 45 (4.4%) were XDR. Cluster rates were high among MDR (57.8%) and pre-XDR/XDR (79%) strains with three dominant L2 (Beijing) strain clusters (Cl 1–3) representing half of the pre-XDR and 40% of the XDR-TB cases. L2 strains were associated with pre-XDR/XDR-TB (P < 0.001) and, particularly Cl 1–3 strains, had high first-line and FQ resistance rates (81.6–90.6%). Epidemic success analysis using THD showed that L2 strains outperformed L1, L3, and L4 strains in short- and long-term time scales. More importantly, L2 MDR and MDR + strains had higher THD success indices than their not-MDR counterparts. Overall, compensatory mutation rates were highest in L2 strains and positive selection was detected in genes of L2 strains associated with drug tolerance (prpB and ppsA) and virulence (Rv2828c). Compensatory mutations in L2 strains were associated with a threefold increase of THD indices, suggesting improved transmissibility. Conclusions Our data indicate a drastic increase of FQ resistance, as well as emerging bedaquiline resistance which endangers the success of newly endorsed MDR-TB treatment regimens. Rapid changes in treatment and control strategies are required to contain transmission of highly successful pre-XDR L2 strains in the Mumbai Metropolitan region but presumably also India-wide.

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IntroductionVitamin D status may be an important determinant of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) infection, progression to disease and treatment outcomes. Novel and potentially cost-effective therapies such as vitamin D supplementation are needed to stem the tide of TB and MDR-TB globally, particularly in India, a country that accounts for the largest fraction of the world’s TB incidence and MDR-TB incidence, and where vitamin D deficiency is endemic. While vitamin D has shown some promise in the treatment of MDR-TB, its role in the context of MDR-TB infection and progression to disease is largely unknown.Methods and analysisThrough a case–control study in Mumbai, India, we aim to examine associations between vitamin D status and active MDR-TB and to investigate vitamin D status and TB infection among controls. Cases are adult outpatient pulmonary patients with MDR-TB recruited from two public TB clinics. Controls are recruited from the cases’ household contacts and from non-respiratory departments of the facilities where cases were recruited. Cases and controls are assessed for serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, nutrient intake, diet quality, anthropometry and other relevant clinical and sociodemographic parameters. Controls undergo additional clinical assessments to rule out active TB and laboratory assessments to determine presence of TB infection. Statistical analysis investigates associations between vitamin D status and active MDR-TB and between vitamin D status and TB infection among controls, accounting for potential confounding effects of diet, anthropometry and other covariates.Ethics and disseminationThis study has been approved by Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Institutional Review Board; Foundation for Medical Research Institutional Research Ethics Committee and Health Ministry’s Screening Committee of the Indian Council for Medical Research. Permission was granted by the Municipal Corporation of Greater Mumbai, India, a collaborating partner on this research. Outcomes will be disseminated through publication and scientific presentation.Trial registration numberNCT04342598.

BACKGROUND: India has the highest prevalence of multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) globally. Vitamin D deficiency is potentially an important risk factor for MDR-TB.METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of 90 newly diagnosed adult MDR-TB cases, 180 household controls and 82 non-household controls in Mumbai, India. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D), anthropometry, clinical status and history, dietary data and sociodemographic data were collected from each participant. Interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) was also performed in controls to assess latent TB. Multivariable regression was performed to estimate associations between 25(OH)D vs. case status and IGRA positivity.RESULTS: Mean participant age was 33.8 ± 12.0 years; 72.8% had 25(OH)D <20 ng/ml. Mean 25(OH)D was significantly (P < 0.05) lower in cases (12.5 ± 7.9) than both household (17.5 ± 11.2) and non-household controls (16.4 ± 9.1). In multivariable models, 25(OH)D concentration was inversely associated with MDR-TB case status among cases and household controls (OR 0.95 per 1 ng/ml, 95% CI 0.92–0.99; P = 0.015), and among cases and non-household controls (OR 0.94 per 1 ng/ml, 95% CI 0.89–1.00; P = 0.033); 53.6% of controls were IGRA-positive. 25(OH)D status was not associated with IGRA positivity.CONCLUSION: Vitamin D status was independently associated with MDR-TB case status. Research should evaluate the effectiveness of vitamin D supplementation in prevention and adjunctive treatment of MDR-TB.