The novel coronavirus (COVID-19), which is one of its kind of humanitarian disasters, has affected people and businesses worldwide, triggering a global economic crisis. In this aspect, the tourism sector is not being left behind. The pandemic has not only affected the foreign exchange earnings (FEE) but also affected various regional developments, job opportunities, thereby disrupting the local communities as a whole. As there has been a substantial decline in the arrivals of overseas tourists in India in 2020, the paper aims to predict foreign tourists' arrival in India and FEE using artificial neural networks (ANN). Furthermore, we analyse the impact of COVID-19 based on four scenarios considering with and without lockdown in terms of loss and gain in FEE. Lastly, the results obtained will help policymakers make necessary strategic and operational decisions, along with maximizing the FEE.

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Purpose -The paper proposes multi-sourcing models for optimal order allocation in newsvendor setting under supply disruption with stochastic demand where suppliers are capacity constrained. Design/methodology/approach -Mathematical models are constructed to describe the stochastic single period two echelon supply chain. We first investigate the uncapacitated suppliers' problem. Then capacity constraint is included in the model to study the effect on sourcing decision. A numerical example and its solution are included to illustrate the solution procedure. We find the solution using traditional optimization approach, genetic algorithm and simulation optimization approach. Findings -The models capture the impact of disruption risk on optimal sourcing decision. When demand is highly uncertain the order should be place with the lowest cost suppliers in case of uncapacitated problem; whereas, it is to be appropriately split among a set of low-cost suppliers in case of capacitated problem. Simulation optimization found to be the best solution approach for such problem.Research implications/limitations -The model is applicable for a single period short-life cycle product. Originality/value -The models can be utilized for any number of suppliers. The numerical study illustrates the impact of probability of disruption, its consequences and cost of purchase on sourcing decisions.

Agricultural supply chain (ASC) plays a vital role for sustainability as it is the main source of food supply. ASC encounters more sources of risk due to seasonality, perishability, and weather conditions, which makes the global food security system complex. This paper develops an optimization model for a perishable product supply chain to decide the optimal risk management strategy that maximizes the decision maker's expected profit under demand and price uncertainty. A base-case scenario is considered to show the impact of risk management strategy on performance improvement. The expected profit of the decision maker is obtained for different combination of strategies, and sensitivity analysis is performed to show the impact of perishability on the percentage of improvement from the base case scenario. The results show that backup supplier strategy is very effective during the yield disruption, but it is not as effective during harvest disruption. Hence, a single approach is inadequate to provide solution in all types of risk scenarios; thus, the combination of approaches is most effective.