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Online data acquisition, data assimilation and integrated hydrological modelling have become more and more important in hydrological science. In this study, we explore cloud computing for integrating field data acquisition and stochastic, physically-based hydrological modelling in a data assimilation and optimisation framework as a service to water resources management. For this purpose, we developed an ensemble Kalman filter-based data assimilation system for the fully-coupled, physically-based hydrological model HydroGeoSphere, which is able to run in a cloud computing environment. A synthetic data assimilation experiment based on the widely used tilted V-catchment problem showed that the computational overhead for the application of the data assimilation platform in a cloud computing environment is minimal, which makes it well-suited for practical water management problems. Advantages of the cloud-based implementation comprise the independence from computational infrastructure and the straightforward integration of cloud-based observation databases with the modelling and data assimilation platform.

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This paper describes and evaluates the assimilation component of a seamless sea ice prediction system, which is developed based on the fully coupled Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Center for Polar and Marine Research Climate Model (AWI-CM, v1.1). Its ocean/ice component with unstructured-mesh discretization and smoothly varying spatial resolution enables seamless sea ice prediction across a wide range of space and time scales. The model is complemented with the Parallel Data Assimilation Framework to assimilate observations in the ocean/ice component with an Ensemble Kalman Filter. The focus here is on the data assimilation of the prediction system. First, the performance of the system is tested in a perfect-model setting with synthetic observations. The system exhibits no drift for multivariate assimilation, which is a prerequisite for the robustness of the system. Second, real observational data for sea ice concentration, thickness, drift, and sea surface temperature are assimilated. The analysis results are evaluated against independent in situ observations and reanalysis data. Further experiments that assimilate different combinations of variables are conducted to understand their individual impacts on the model state. In particular, assimilating sea ice drift improves the sea ice thickness estimate, and assimilating sea surface temperature is able to avert a circulation bias of the free-running model in the Arctic Ocean at middepth. Finally, we present preliminary results obtained with an extended system where the atmosphere is constrained by nudging toward reanalysis data, revealing challenges that still need to be overcome to adapt the ocean/ice assimilation. We consider this system a prototype on the way toward strongly coupled data assimilation across all model components.Plain Language Summary Sea ice prediction over seasonal time scale has attracted the focus from both the scientific and socioeconomic communities recently. We develop a system aiming for seamless sea ice prediction using a coupled model that is equipped with an unstructured ocean/sea ice component. The high-resolution mesh over the polar regions allows us to explore its possible benefits on the prediction across a wide range of time scales. To this end, the sea surface temperature, sea ice concentration, sea ice thickness, and sea ice drift observations are assimilated in the current system to diagnose the performance of the model initialization for future forecasts.

Abstract. Data assimilation integrates information from observational measurements with numerical models. When used with coupled models of Earth system compartments, e.g., the atmosphere and the ocean, consistent joint states can be estimated. A common approach for data assimilation is ensemble-based methods which utilize an ensemble of state realizations to estimate the state and its uncertainty. These methods are far more costly to compute than a single coupled model because of the required integration of the ensemble. However, with uncoupled models, the ensemble methods also have been shown to exhibit a particularly good scaling behavior. This study discusses an approach to augment a coupled model with data assimilation functionality provided by the Parallel Data Assimilation Framework (PDAF). Using only minimal changes in the codes of the different compartment models, a particularly efficient data assimilation system is generated that utilizes parallelization and in-memory data transfers between the models and the data assimilation functions and hence avoids most of the file reading and writing, as well as model restarts during the data assimilation process. This study explains the required modifications to the programs with the example of the coupled atmosphere–sea-ice–ocean model AWI-CM (AWI Climate Model). Using the case of the assimilation of oceanic observations shows that the data assimilation leads only to small overheads in computing time of about 15 % compared to the model without data assimilation and a very good parallel scalability. The model-agnostic structure of the assimilation software ensures a separation of concerns in which the development of data assimilation methods can be separated from the model application.