Purpose:
This study assessed the ability of metabolic parameters from
18
Fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (
18
F-FDG PET/CT) and clinicopathological data to predict epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) expression/mutation status in patients with lung adenocarcinoma and to develop a prognostic model based on differences in
EGFR
expression status, to enable individualized targeted molecular therapy.
Patients and Methods:
Metabolic parameters and clinicopathological data from 200 patients diagnosed with lung adenocarcinoma between July 2009 and November 2016, who underwent
18
F-FDG PET/CT and
EGFR
mutation testing, were retrospectively evaluated. Multivariate logistic regression was applied to significant variables to establish a prediction model for
EGFR
mutation status. Overall survival for both mutant and wild-type
EGFR
was analyzed to establish a multifactor Cox regression model.
Results:
Of the 200 patients, 115 (58%) exhibited
EGFR
mutations and 85 (42%) were wild-type. Among selected metabolic parameters, metabolic tumor volume (MTV) demonstrated a significant difference between wild-type and mutant
EGFR
mutation status, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.60, which increased to 0.70 after clinical data (smoking status) were combined. Survival analysis of wild-type and mutant
EGFR
yielded mean survival times of 34.451 (95% CI 28.654–40.249) and 53.714 (95% CI 44.331–63.098) months, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that mutation type, tumor stage, and thyroid transcription factor-1 (TTF-1) expression status were the main factors influencing patient prognosis. The hazard ratio for mutant
EGFR
was 0.511 (95% CI 0.303–0.862) times that of wild-type, and the risk of death was lower for mutant
EGFR
than for wild-type. The risk of death was lower in TTF-1-positive than in TTF-1-negative patients.
Conclusion:
18
F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters combined with clinicopathological data demonstrated moderate diagnostic efficacy in predicting
EGFR
mutation status and were associated with prognosis in mutant and wild-type
EGFR
non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), thus providing a reference for individualized targeted molecular therapy.
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