The COVID-19 pandemic broke out and the global logistics industry suffered severe losses; therefore, the Fuzzy FMEA-AHP (Fuzzy Failure Mode and Effects Analysis-Analytic Hierarchy Process) method is proposed to analyze the failure reasons of the logistics system in the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we have made an optimization on the basis of the FMEA method: the fuzzy is integrated into the FMEA algorithm, referred to as F-RPWN (fuzzy risk priority-weighted number). Meanwhile, the AHP is used to determine the weights of risk indicators. In this article, we consider new logistics failures, such as the failure modes and failure reasons of the logistics system under the COVID-19 pandemic. There are 12 failures that have been determined, and relevant preventive and corrective measures have been recommended to cut off the path of failure propagation and reduce the impact of failures. In addition, the proposed method can help logistics firms, their supply chain partners, and customers with risk management issues during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Water transportation is an important part of comprehensive transportation and plays a critical role in a country’s economic development. The world’s cargo transportation is dominated by waterway transportation, and maritime transportation Systems (MTS) are the main part of the waterway transportation system. The flow of goods plays a key role in the economic development of the ports along the route. The sustainable development of maritime transportation, the maritime transportation economy and the environment have great practical significance. In this paper, the principle of the BP (back propagation) neural network is used to predict the freight transportation volume of China’s waterways, and the genetic algorithm (GA) is used to optimize the BP neural network, so as to construct the GA-BPNN (back propagation neural network) prediction model. By collecting and processing the data of China’s water cargo transport volume, the experimental results show that prediction accuracy is significantly improved, which proves the reliability of the method. The experimental methods and results can provide certain reference information for the optimization, upgrade, and more scientific management of sustainable MTS in China and internationally, provide key information for port cargo handling plans, help optimize port layout, and improve transportation capacity and efficiency.
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