The largest relativistic (∼1 GeV) solar proton event of the current solar activity cycle occurred on Easter 2001 (April 15). This was the first such event to be observed by Spaceship Earth, an 11-station network of neutron monitors optimized for measuring the angular distribution of solar cosmic rays. We derive the particle density and anisotropy as functions of time and model these with numerical solutions of the Boltzmann equation. We conclude that transport in the interplanetary medium was diffusive in this event, with a radial mean free path of 0.17 AU. The high time resolution of the Spaceship Earth network and the fast particle speed permit accurate determination of particle injection timing at the solar source. We find that particle injection at the Sun began at 13:42 UT 1ע minute, about 14 minutes before the first arrival of particles at Earth, in close association with the onset of shock-related radio emissions and ∼15 minutes after liftoff of a coronal mass ejection (CME). Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that solar particles were accelerated to GeV energies on Easter 2001 by a CME-driven shock wave.
The Galactic cosmic ray spectrum exhibits subtle variations over the 22 yr solar magnetic cycle in addition to the more dramatic variations over the 11 yr sunspot cycle. Neutron monitors are large ground-based detectors that provide accurate measurements of variations in the cosmic ray flux at the top of the atmosphere above the detector. At any given location the magnetic field of the Earth excludes particles below a well-defined rigidity (momentum per unit charge) known as the cutoff rigidity, which can be accurately calculated using detailed models of the geomagnetic field. By carrying a neutron monitor to different locations, e.g., on a ship, the Earth itself serves as a magnet spectrometer. By repeating such latitude surveys with identical equipment, a sensitive measurement of changes in the spectrum can be made. In this work, we analyze data from the 1994 through 2007 series of latitude surveys conducted by the Bartol Research Institute, the University of Tasmania, and the Australian Antarctic Division. We confirm the curious "crossover" in spectra measured near solar minima during epochs of opposite solar magnetic polarity, and show that it is directly related to a sudden change in the spectral behavior of solar modulation at the time of the polarity reversal, as revealed from contemporaneous variations in the survey data and a fixed station. We suggest that the spectral change and crossover result from the interaction of effects due to gradient/curvature drifts with a systematic change in the interplanetary diffusion coefficient caused by turbulent magnetic helicity.
[1] We have developed a system that watches for count rate increases recorded in real time by eight neutron monitors, which triggers an alarm if a ground level enhancement (GLE) is detected. In this work, we determine optimal strategies for detecting the GLE event at a very early stage, while still keeping the false alarm rate at a very low level. We study past events to optimize appropriate intensity threshold values and a baseline to determine the intensity increase. The highest-level alarm, which we term an ''alert,'' is generated when a 4% increase is recorded at three stations in 3 min averaged data. At this level, the false alarm rate obtained by backtesting over the past 4.4 years is zero. Ten GLEs occurred in this period, and our system produced GLE alarms for nine events. Alarm times for these nine events are compared with satellite proton data.
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