SummaryBackgroundPublic objection to autopsy has led to a search for minimally invasive alternatives. Imaging has potential, but its accuracy is unknown. We aimed to identify the accuracy of post-mortem CT and MRI compared with full autopsy in a large series of adult deaths.MethodsThis study was undertaken at two UK centres in Manchester and Oxford between April, 2006, and November, 2008. We used whole-body CT and MRI followed by full autopsy to investigate a series of adult deaths that were reported to the coroner. CT and MRI scans were reported independently, each by two radiologists who were masked to the autopsy findings. All four radiologists then produced a consensus report based on both techniques, recorded their confidence in cause of death, and identified whether autopsy was needed.FindingsWe assessed 182 unselected cases. The major discrepancy rate between cause of death identified by radiology and autopsy was 32% (95% CI 26–40) for CT, 43% (36–50) for MRI, and 30% (24–37) for the consensus radiology report; 10% (3–17) lower for CT than for MRI. Radiologists indicated that autopsy was not needed in 62 (34%; 95% CI 28–41) of 182 cases for CT reports, 76 (42%; 35–49) of 182 cases for MRI reports, and 88 (48%; 41–56) of 182 cases for consensus reports. Of these cases, the major discrepancy rate compared with autopsy was 16% (95% CI 9–27), 21% (13–32), and 16% (10–25), respectively, which is significantly lower (p<0·0001) than for cases with no definite cause of death. The most common imaging errors in identification of cause of death were ischaemic heart disease (n=27), pulmonary embolism (11), pneumonia (13), and intra-abdominal lesions (16).InterpretationWe found that, compared with traditional autopsy, CT was a more accurate imaging technique than MRI for providing a cause of death. The error rate when radiologists provided a confident cause of death was similar to that for clinical death certificates, and could therefore be acceptable for medicolegal purposes. However, common causes of sudden death are frequently missed on CT and MRI, and, unless these weaknesses are addressed, systematic errors in mortality statistics would result if imaging were to replace conventional autopsy.FundingPolicy Research Programme, Department of Health, UK.

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Summary Background Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) are highly protective against invasive pneumococcal disease caused by vaccine serotypes, but the burden of pneumococcal disease in low-income and middle-income countries is dominated by pneumonia, most of which is non-bacteraemic. We examined the effect of 10-valent PCV on the incidence of pneumonia in Kenya. Methods We linked prospective hospital surveillance for clinically-defined WHO severe or very severe pneumonia at Kilifi County Hospital, Kenya, from 2002 to 2015, to population surveillance at Kilifi Health and Demographic Surveillance System, comprising 45 000 children younger than 5 years. Chest radiographs were read according to a WHO standard. A 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PCV10) was introduced in Kenya in January, 2011. In Kilifi, there was a three-dose catch-up campaign for infants (aged <1 year) and a two-dose catch-up campaign for children aged 1–4 years, between January and March, 2011. We estimated the effect of PCV10 on the incidence of clinically-defined and radiologically-confirmed pneumonia through interrupted time-series analysis, accounting for seasonal and temporal trends. Findings Between May 1, 2002 and March 31, 2015, 44 771 children aged 2–143 months were admitted to Kilifi County Hospital. We excluded 810 admissions between January and March, 2011, and 182 admissions during nurses' strikes. In 2002–03, the incidence of admission with clinically-defined pneumonia was 2170 per 100 000 in children aged 2–59 months. By the end of the catch-up campaign in 2011, 4997 (61·1%) of 8181 children aged 2–11 months had received at least two doses of PCV10 and 23 298 (62·3%) of 37 416 children aged 12–59 months had received at least one dose. Across the 13 years of surveillance, the incidence of clinically-defined pneumonia declined by 0·5% per month, independent of vaccine introduction. There was no secular trend in the incidence of radiologically-confirmed pneumonia over 8 years of study. After adjustment for secular trend and season, incidence rate ratios for admission with radiologically-confirmed pneumonia, clinically-defined pneumonia, and diarrhoea (control condition), associated temporally with PCV10 introduction and the catch-up campaign, were 0·52 (95% CI 0·32–0·86), 0·73 (0·54–0·97), and 0·63 (0·31–1·26), respectively. Immediately before PCV10 was introduced, the annual incidence of clinically-defined pneumonia was 1220 per 100 000; this value was reduced by 329 per 100 000 at the point of PCV10 introduction. Interpretation Over 13 years, admissions to Kilifi County Hospital for clinically-defined pneumonia decreased sharply (by 27%) in association with the introduction of PCV10, as did the incidence of radiologically-confirmed pneumonia (by 48%). The burden of hospital admissions for childhood pneumonia in Kilifi, Kenya, has been re...

Background The SARS-Cov-2 Omicron variant demonstrates rapid spread but with reduced disease severity. Studies evaluating the lung imaging findings of Omicron infection versus non-Omicron variants remain lacking. Purpose To compare Omicron and Delta variants of SARS-CoV-2 by their chest CT radiological pattern, biochemical parameters, clinical severity and hospital outcomes after adjusting for vaccination status. Materials and Methods Retrospective study of hospitalized adult patients rt-PCR positive for SARS-CoV-2 with CT pulmonary angiography performed within 7 days of admission between December 1, 2021 and January 14, 2022. Blinded radiological analysis with multiple readers including RSNA CT classification, chest CT severity score (CT-SS, range 0 least severe to 25 most severe) and CT imaging features including bronchial wall thickening. Results 106 patients (Delta n=66, Omicron n=40) were evaluated (mean age, 58 years ± 18, 58 men). In the Omicron group, 37% (15/40) of CT pulmonary angiograms were categorized as normal compared with 15% (10/66) in the Delta group (p=.016). Using a generalized linear model to control for confounding variables, including vaccination status, Omicron variant infection was associated with a CT-SS that was lower by 7.2 points compared to infection with Delta variant (β=-7.2, 95%CI: -9.9, -4.5; p <.001). Bronchial wall thickening was more common with Omicron than with the Delta variant (odds ratio [OR] 2.4, 95%CI: 1.01, 5.92, p=.04). Vaccination with a booster shot was associated with a protective effect on chest infection compared with the unvaccinated (CT-SS median 5 (IQR 0-11), CT-SS median 11 (IQR 7.5-14), respectively; p = .03). The Delta variant was associated with a higher odds ratio of severe disease (OR 4.6, 95%CI: 1.2, 26, p=.01) and critical care admission (OR 7.0, 95%CI: 1.5, 66, p=.004) than the Omicron variant. Conclusion The SARS-COV-2 Omicron variant was associated with fewer and less severe changes on chest CT compared with the Delta variant. Patients with Omicron had greater frequency of bronchial wall thickening but lower clinical severity and improved hospital outcomes than those with Delta.

Background Thoracic ultrasound-guided pleural procedures are associated with fewer adverse events than 'blind' procedures for patients with pleural effusion. Ultrasound is increasingly practised by respiratory physicians but there has been no prospective assessment of its safety and diagnostic accuracy when delivered by respiratory physicians. Methods The activity level, safety and diagnostic accuracy of thoracic ultrasound delivered by respiratory physicians were prospectively assessed. Diagnostic accuracy was assessed using a stepwise pragmatic approach (recording if pleural fluid was obtained or effusion was present on another radiological modality). In the absence of the above, ultrasound clips were reviewed by a blinded radiologist. The number of ultrasounds referred to radiologists and adverse events within 1 week were recorded. The complication rate was compared with the published literature. Results 960 ultrasound scans occurred over a 3 year period. The activity of the service increased over time, as a result of increased use of interventional ultrasound. The referral rate to radiology remained constant over the study period (mean proportion 4.0%). Physician-delivered ultrasound correctly identified the presence/absence of pleural fluid in 951 of 955 evaluable scans (99.6% CI 98.9% to 99.9%). The major complication rate was 3/ 558¼0.5% (95% CI 0.1% to 1.6%), which compared favourably with the identified published literature. Conclusion Respiratory physician-delivered thoracic ultrasound appears to be safe and effective in the diagnosis/intervention of pleural effusion, and is associated with a major complication rate comparable with that of published studies. Continued liaison with the radiology service has here been demonstrated as a requirement for a physician-based service.