The forecasting of Coronavirus Disease-19 (COVID-19) dynamics is a centerpiece in evidence based disease management. Numerous approaches that use mathematical modeling have been used to predict the outcome of the pandemic, including data driven models, empirical and hybrid models. This study was aimed at prediction COVID-19 evolution in India using a model based on autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). Retrieving real time data from the Johns Hopkins dashboard from
In this paper we explore the applicability of Fuzzy C-Means clustering technique to student allocation problem that allocates new students to homogenous groups of specified maximum capacity, and analyze effects of such allocations on the academic performance of students. This paper also presents a Fuzzy set and Regression analysis based rules based Fuzzy Expert System model which is capable of dealing with imprecision and missing data that is commonly inherited in the student academic performance evaluation. This model automatically converts crisp sets into fuzzy sets by using CMeans clustering technique for academic performance evaluation.
General TermsClustering Technique, Fuzzy Model and Fuzzy C-Means
The present study discusses the spread of COVID−2019 epidemic of India and its end by using SIR model. Here we have discussed about the spread of COVID−2019 epidemic in great detail using Euler method. The Euler method is a method for solving the ordinary differential equations. The SIR model has the combination of three ordinary differential equations. In this study, we have used the data of COVID−2019 Outbreak of India on 8 May, 2020. In this data, we have used 135710 susceptible cases, 54340 infectious cases and 1830 reward/removed cases for the initial level of experimental purpose. Data about a wide variety of infectious diseases has been analyzed with the help of SIR model. Therefore, this model has been already well tested for infectious diseases by various scientists and researchers. Using the data to the number of COVID−2019 outbreak cases in India the results obtained from the analysis and simulation of this proposed SIR model showing that the COVID−2019 epidemic cases increase for some time and there after this outbreak decrease. The results obtained from the SIR model also suggest that the Euler method can be used to predict transmission and prevent the COVID−2019 epidemic in India. Finally, from this study, we have found that the outbreak of COVID−2019 epidemic in India will be at its peak on 25 May 2020 and after that it will work slowly and on the verge of ending in the first or second week of August 2020.
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