ObjectiveTo evaluate the long-term survival outcomes of a large cohort of liver transplant recipients and to identify static and changing factors that influenced these outcomes over time.
Summary Background DataUver transplantation has been accepted as a therapeutic option for patients with end-stage liver disease since 1983. with continual improvements in patient survival as a result of advances in immunosuppression and medical management, technical achievements, and improvements in procurement and preservation. Although many reports. including registry data. have delineated short-term factors that influence survival, few reports have examined factors that affect long-term survival after liver transplantation.
MethodsFour thousand consecutive patients who underwent liver transplantation between February 1981 and April 1998 were included in this analysis and were followed up to March 2000. The effect of donor and recipient age at the time of trans plan-
490tation, recipient gender, diagnosis. and year of transplantation were compared. Rates of retransplantation. causes of retransplantation, and cause of death were also examined.
ResultsThe overall patient survival for the entire cohort was 59%; the actuarial 18-year survival was 48%. Patient survival was significantly better in children, in female recipients, and in patients who received transplants after 1990. The rates of retransplantation for acute or chronic rejection were significantly lower with tacrolimus-based immunosuppression. The risk of graft failure and death was relatively stable after the first year, with recurrence of disease. malignancies. and age-related complications being the major factors for loss.
ConclusionSignificantly improved patient and graft survival has been observed over time, and graft loss from acute or chronic rejection has emerged as a rarity. Age-related and disease-related causes of graft loss represent the greatest threat to long-term survival.
Patient and graft survival past 5 years after orthotopic LTx is significantly lower for ALD for a variety of reasons (P=0.001). The rate of upper airway malignances was significantly higher in ALD patients than for non-ALD post-LTx patients and the general public. Graft loss/death related to recidivism or chronic rejection was extremely low. More attention is needed for early diagnosis of de novo cancer and prevention of cardiorespiratory and cerebrovascular complications.
Long-term patient and graft survival rates are excellent under tacrolimus immunosuppression. Pediatric patients have a better long-term outcome than adults, in part because of the limited recurrence of the original disease, which was the most common cause of late graft loss (other than patient death, most commonly the result of late de novo malignancies and cardiovascular events). Graft loss from late rejection was rare.
At 9 years of follow-up, actuarial patient and graft survival were significantly improved (patient survival 85.41% in Group I vs. 63.8% in Group II, P=0.0001; graft survival Group I 78.9% vs. 60.8% Group II, P=0.0003) and the rate of re -transplantation was significantly lower among patients in Group I (12% in Group I vs. 22.5% in Group II P=0.01). Children in Group I also experienced a significantly reduced incidence of acute rejection (0.97 per patient Group I vs. 1.5 per patient Group II P=0.002) and significantly less steroid resistant acute rejection episodes (3.1% in Group I vs. 8.6% in Group II P=0.0001). The mean steroid dose was significantly lower in Group I compared with Group II at all time points (P=0.0001) after LTx. Freedom from steroid was also significantly higher in Group I compared with Group II at all time points after LTx (ranging from 78% to 84% in Group I and 9% to 32% in Group II during a 1- to 7-year posttransplant period P=0.0001). The rate of hypertension was significantly lower in Group I than Group II (P=0.0001), and the severity of hypertension (need for more than one anti-hypertensive medication) was also significantly lower in Group I than Group II (P=0.0001). Although the rate of posttransplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) was not significantly different (13.7% Group I vs.8.3% Group II, P=0.13), the survival after PTLD was significantly better for Group I at 81.2% than for Group II at 50% after 5 years (P=0.034). Conclusion. The results suggest that tacrolimus-based therapy provides significant long-term benefit to pediatric LTx patients, evidenced by significantly improved patient and graft survival, reduced rate of rejection, and hypertension with lower steroid doses.
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